Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies 01/11/2022 NBA Odds and Preview

The Golden State Warriors visit the Memphis Grizzlies at the FedExForum on Tuesday night in a battle of top teams in the Western Conference.

Golden State is the best team in the NBA with a record of 30–9. The Warriors are the odds on favorite to win the West and the second favorites to win the 2022 NBA title. However, the Dubs haven’t been as hot as of late with just a 6-4 SU record in their last 10 games played. Golden State defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 96-82 in Klay Thompson’s first game in 941 days.

Memphis is the hottest team in the league right now with nine consecutive victories. The Grizzlies have moved up to 4th place in the Western Conference with their 28-14 record and they are just 3.5 games behind the Warriors in the team standings. Memphis defeated the L.A. Lakers 127-119, last Sunday.

Golden State Warriors

Steph Curry led the Warriors with 28 points plus five rebounds and five blocked shots while Jordan Poole added 14 off the bench. Kevon Looney had a monster night off the glass with 8 rebounds plus 6 points but it was Klay Thompson’s 17 points in 20 minutes that stole the show against the Cavaliers.

The Warriors rank 11th in the NBA in scoring 109.8 points per game this season. They are 5th in rebounding at 46.2 boards grabbed per contest and second in passing at 27.9 assists per game. The Dubs have the league’s best scoring defense at 100.9 points per game.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Warriors

-118

Grizzlies

+100

Odds from BetOnline as of 01/11/2022

Memphis Grizzlies

Desmond Bane led the Grizzlies with 23 points against the Lakers while Jaren Jackson Jr. added 21 points and 6 blocked shots. Ja Morant took just 10 shots and scored 16 points while also issuing 7 assists and grabbing five rebounds. Kyle Anderson and Brandon Clarke each added 14 points in Sunday’s road win.

Memphis ranks 5th in the league in scoring at 112.1 points per game. They are the no. 1 rebounding team in the NBA at 48.3 boards grabbed per contest and 9th in passing at 25.3 assists per game. The Grizzlies have the 15th ranked scoring defense at 107.9 points per game allowed.

Who Wins?

Golden State is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games played. The Warriors are 12-6 SU in 18 road games played this season and 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against the Western Conference.

Memphis is 9-0 SU in their last nine games played. The Grizzlies are 14-8 SU in their 22 home games played this season, 6-0 SU in their last six games against the Western Conference, and 5-0 SU in their last five games against the Pacific Division. Head to head, the Grizzlies are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played against the Warriors.

The Grizzlies are on a roll right now with nine straight wins and six victories in their last eight home games. The Memphis offense is averaging more than 120 points per game in their last three games played.

I think the key to this game will be Klay Thompson who is coming off a 17-point performance in 20 minutes in his first game in 31 months. With Thompson healthy, the Warriors will only get better and the Grizzlies are about to find out.

Prediction: Golden State Warriors

Other Bets to Make

The Warriors are 29-14-2 ATS in their last 45 games played. Golden State is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games against an opponent with a winning percentage higher than .600, 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games against an opponent with a winning percentage better than .600, 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games after a straight-up win of more than 10 points, 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games as betting favorites, and 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 games when their opponent allows 100 or more points in their previous game.

The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last six games played. Memphis is 7-0 ATS in their last seven January games played, 5-0 ATS in their last five games after an ATS win, 6-0 ATS in their last six games after a straight-up win, 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game, 5-0 ATS in their last five Tuesday games, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as betting underdogs.

What are the Spread Odds?

Warriors

-1.5 (-120)

Grizzlies

+1.5 (+100)

Odds from BetOnline as of 01/11/2022

For the season, both teams are playing well against the spread as the Grizzlies are the no. 2 and the Warriors the no. 5 best ATS teams in the league this season, although it’s Memphis that’s playing better against the spread as of late.

However, the spread here is just 1.5 points which makes essentially a pick’em game. Anytime you have the Warriors in a pick’em game, you have to go with them. Golden State is 19-11-2 ATS as betting favorites while Memphis is just 3-2 ATS as home underdogs.

If the spread were 5+ points, maybe I would’ve considered going with the Grizzlies’ hot streak. But it’s just 1.5 points and the Warriors have Klay Thompson back. I can’t say no to the Warriors at less than a basket.

Prediction: Warriors -1.5

The total has gone under in four out of the last six games played by the Warriors. The under is 12-5 in their last 17 road games, 6-1 in their last seven games against an opponent with a winning straight up record, 20-6 in their last 26 games as road favorites, 43-15 in their last 58 Tuesday games, 20-8 in their last 28 games when playing on one day rest, and 34-16-1 in their last 51 games as betting favorites.

The total has gone under in five out of the Grizzlies’ last seven games played. The under is 5-0 in their last five games played at home, 4-1 in their last five games when playing on one day rest, 4-1 against an opponent with a winning record, 5-2 in their last seven games after a straight-up win, and 5-2 in their last seven games when scoring 100 or more points in their previous game.

Golden State is the top defensive team this season. The Dubs lead the league in defensive rating and are allowing just a shade over 100 points per game. They are also the top UNDER team in the league with the total hitting the under in 67.6% of their total games this season.

Memphis’ Over/Under record is 20-20-2 but the under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games played. The Grizzlies have given up 108 or fewer points in seven out of their last nine games played and have played better defense as of late.

They combined for 217 points last December 23rd and 205 points last October 28th. I don’t see why this game will be any different.

Prediction: Under 218.5

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