Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins 7/5/19 MLB Odds, Preview, and Prediction

The Texas Rangers visit the Minnesota Twins in a three-game set beginning Friday, July 5, 2019, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Adrian Sampson will open on top of the hill for the Rangers on Friday. The 27-year-old right-hander has appeared 18 times this season with 11 starts. Sampson has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 4.16, a WHIP of 1.16 and a BAA of .284. Texas is 6-4 in his last 10 appearances.

The Redmond, Wichita native has given up a total of 45 runs this season, 41 of which were earned, on 101 hits with 15 home runs. Sampson has allowed 20 walks while striking out a total of 73 batters faced. In his last outing, Sampson allowed three earned runs on five hits in 6.0 innings pitched. He got the loss as Texas dropped a 2-5 contest against Tampa Bay last June 29th.

Elvis Andrus leads Texas with his .306 batting average while Hunter Pence has 48 RBIs to pace the Rangers. Meanwhile, Joey Gallo’s 20 homers are a team-best this year. As a team, Texas is hitting the ball at a .252 batting clip and they have scored a total of 462 runs on the season.

Martin Perez will start for the Twins in this series opener on Friday. The 28-year old lefty has pitched 17 times with 14 starts this season. Perez has a record of 7-3 with an ERA of 4.15, a WHIP of 1.36 and a BAA of .243 on the season. The Twins are 2-4 in his last six starts.

Perez has allowed a total of 48 runs, including 41 earned, on 83 hits with only seven home runs. The 7-year veteran has struck out a total of 82 hitters and given up 38 walks this year. In his last outing, Perez allowed just three hits with two runs in 7.0 innings. Still, he got the loss as Minnesota lost to Tampa Bay 2-5 last June 27th.

Jorge Polanco leads Minnesota with a .318 batting average while Eddie Rosario’s 60 RBIs is currently the season-best for the Twins. On the other hand, Max Kepler has drilled 21 home runs to pace the Twins.  Minnesota has a team batting average of .269 and the Twins have scored a total of 484 runs on the season.

Who Wins?

Texas is 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played. The Rangers are 4-2 SU in their last six games played on the road. Minnesota is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. The Twins are 2-1 SU in their last three home games played. Head to head, the Rangers are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games against the Twins. Texas is also 3-2 SU in their last five meetings in Minnesota.

Texas is 0-7 SU in Sampson’s last seven starts on the road and winless in their last four games played. Minnesota has won 35 out of their last 51 games at home. The Twins are 33-16 in their last 39 games against right-handed starters. Minnesota is also 7-1 SU in their last 8 Friday games. I’m picking the Minnesota Twins to beat the Texas Rangers on 7/5/19. Prediction: Minnesota Twins.

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Other Bets To Make

The Rangers are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played. Texas is 4-2 ATS in their last six games played on the road. The Twins are also 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played. Minnesota is 2-1 ATS in their last three games played at home and is the baseball betting favorites in this matchup.

The Rangers have outscored the Twins by 2.3 runs per game in their last 10 meetings. Texas has outscored Minnesota by 4.67 runs per game in their last 3 games played. The Rangers’ last five wins have come by at least two runs per game and the Twins have lost by an average of two runs per game in their last four losses. I’ll take the plus runs on the underdogs who have played well against the Twins. Prediction: Rangers +1.5

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The total has gone under in seven out of the last 10 games played by the Rangers. Texas has seen the total go under in five out of their last six games on the road. The under is 5-4-1 in the Twins’ last 10 games played. The over is 2-1 in Minnesota’s last three games played at home. Head to head, the total has gone over in six out of their last 10 meetings.

The over is 5-1 in the last six games between these two teams. The total has gone over in six out of the last eight games played by the Twins against American League West teams. Texas’ last four games have yielded a total of 10.25 points while Minnesota’s averaging a total of 10 runs per game in their last six games. This one should go over. Prediction: Over 10.5

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