The Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens square off in an AFC showdown at the M&T Bank Stadium on November 17, 2019.
The Texans and Ravens are among the best teams in the AFC this season. Houston is the AFC South leader at 6-3 SU while 7-2 SU Baltimore in the AFC North pace-setter. Baltimore defeated Houston 23-16 in their last head to head meeting on November 27, 2017.
The Houston Texans have been involved in close games this season with six out of their eight games this year decided by seven points or fewer. The Texans are an even 3-3 in those close games but after the Indianapolis Colts dropped back to back games, the Texans are on top of the AFC South Division.
DeShaun Watson has thrown for a total of 2,432 passing yards with 18 touchdowns and only five interceptions. Carlos Hyde has rushed for a total of 704 yards on 149 carries with three touchdowns while DeAndre Hopkins has caught 665 yards with four touchdowns for the season.
The Texans are the 4th best rushing team in the league at 142.8 rushing yards per game. Houston is also ranked 12th in passing at 253.9 passing yards per contest. They score an average of 26.4 points per game while giving up an average of 21.2 points per game this season.
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 11/13/19
Five Straight Wins
The Baltimore Ravens opened their season with a 2-2 SU record but after a 25-40 loss to the Cleveland Browns, the Ravens have recorded five straight wins to zoom to the top of the AFC North Division with a 7-2 SU record with last week’s win over the Cincinnati Bengals was their 4th double-digit win of the season.
Lamar Jackson has completed 168 of 255 passes for 2,036 yards with 15 touchdowns and five interceptions. Jackson also leads the Ravens with a total of 702 rushing yards with six rushing touchdowns. Mark Andrews has caught 523 yards with five touchdowns while Marquise Brown has 454 receiving yards with four touchdown grabs.
Baltimore is the top rushing team in the NFL with an average of 197.2 rushing yards per game. The Ravens are ranked 20th in passing at 224.4 yards per contest while scoring 33.0 points per game this season. Baltimore is allowing its opponents to score an average of 21.0 points per game this year.
Houston is 4-1 SU in their last five games played and 3-2 SU in their last five games played on the road. Baltimore is 5-0 SU in their last five games played and 3-1 SU in four home games played this season. Head to head, the Ravens are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played against the Texans. Baltimore is also 5-0 SU in their last five games played against the Texans.
Houston has won four out of their last five games played and they are coming off a much-needed bye week. With the rest, the Texans hope their injuries heal up as tight end Jordan Thomas, receiver Will Fuller and safety Tashaun Gibson have resumed practice this week.
Houston is 2-10 SU and ATS in their last 12 road games against opponents with a winning record and Houston is also 0-5 SU in their last five games played in Baltimore.
Baltimore’s defense isn’t as dominant as it used to be. However, they still play a big part in what the team does to win games. The Ravens defense scored two defensive touchdowns last week and has a total of five in their last three games. The offenses should offset each other but Baltimore’s defense will be the difference in this close game.
Prediction: Baltimore Ravens
Other Bets to Make
The Texans are 5-4 ATS in their last nine games played. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last five games played on the road. The Ravens are 4-4-1 ATS in nine games played this season. Baltimore is 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games played and 3-10-1 ATS in their 14 games as NFL betting favorites. Head to head, the Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played against the Ravens.
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/13/19
The Ravens have outscored the Texans by an average of 4.7 points per game in their last 10 meetings and by 5.33 points per game in their last three head to head games. The Ravens are the best scoring team in the NFL this season at 33.3 points per game. However, their offensive strength plays to what the Houston Texans do best on defense. Houston has the 3rd best rush defense to match against Baltimore’s top rushing game. I think the Texans’ defense is going to contain the Baltimore offense and keep Houston within striking distance throughout the game. I think the Ravens will win but I’ll take the plus points with the underdogs.
Prediction: Texans +4.5
The under is 5-4 in Houston’s last nine games played. The total has gone under in six out of their last eight games against the AFC conference and also under in eight out of the last 10 games played against the NFC North division. The total has gone over in five out of the last seven games played by the Ravens. The over is 6-1 in their last seven games played against the AFC Conference. The total has gone under in 14 out of the last 18 games of Baltimore against the AFC South Division. Head to head, the total has gone under in four out of the last six games between the Texans and Ravens.
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/13/19
These teams have combined to score an average 44.7 points per game in their last 10 games played and 38.67 points in their last three head to head meetings. Houston ranks 4th in the NFL in total yards and total rushing yards this season and they have scored at least 23 points since Week 4. The Ravens have scored a total of 116 points in their last three games played, all victories. We have two of the most exciting offensive quarterbacks facing off. I like the total to go over.
Prediction: Over 50