The Houston Texans take on the Kansas City Chiefs in an exciting AFC matchup on October 13, 2019, at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Houston Texans head to Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday battling for positioning in a wide-open AFC South Division. The Texans are coming off a 53-32 win over the Atlanta Falcons last week and are currently tied with the Indianapolis Colts for the top spot in their division with a 3-2 record.
The Texans gave quarterback DeShaun Watson enough time to throw the football and he responded with a big game against Atlanta. Watson connected on 28 out of 33 passes for 426 yards with five touchdowns. Will Fuller caught 14 passes for 217 yards with three touchdown catches. Carlos Hyde rushed for 60 yards with one touchdown scored.
Houston ranks 11th in passing yards at 252.4 per game. They are 10th in the league in rushing with 129.4 yards per game on the ground. The Texans are ranked 9th in scoring with their 26.2 scoring average. On the other side of the field, Houston is allowing its opponents to score 22.0 points per contest. The Titans are the NFL betting underdogs in this contest.
Odds were taken from TitanBet as of 10/09/19
The Kansas City Chiefs head home after suffering one of their worst losses in the Patrick Mahomes era. The Chiefs were gunning for an NFL record 23 straight games with at least 26 points scored but instead, they ended up losing at home to the Indianapolis Colts 13-16 last Sunday.
Mahomes has been uncharacteristically not Mahomes in the last two weeks. After throwing for 10 touchdowns in his first three games played, the reigning MVP has produced one touchdown in his last two games. In their last game, the Chiefs offense could only muster 13 points at home.
The Chiefs rank first in the NFL in passing yards with 356.0 per game. However, Kansas City is only 25th in the league in rushing yards at 88.6 per contest. They have the 4th highest-scoring offense at 29.6 points per game and the Chiefs are allowing the opposition to score 22.6 points per outing.
Houston is 14-5 SU in their last 19 games played and 1-1 SU in two road games played so far this season. The Texans are 5-0 SU in their last five games played in October and 4-1 SU in their last five-week 6 games played. Kansas City is 4-1 SU in their last five games played and the Chiefs are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games played at home. Head to head, the Chiefs are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games against the Texans, including 4-1 SU in their last five meetings.
The Chiefs’ offense failed to go off in their last game against the Colts but to write-off, Patrick Mahomes would be very wrong. Mahomes has still thrown 300-plus yards in each of the last two weeks and no question, the touchdowns will come back. The only concern with Kansas City is their health.
Mahomes injured his ankle against Indianapolis and favored it during the second half of that game. He is however expected to play against the Texans on Sunday. But wide receiver Sammy Watkins is a doubtful starter after suffering a hamstring injury and their defense could be without linemen Christ Jones and Xavier Williams who went out of the game against the Colts with injuries.
That said, I expect the Chiefs to bounce back in this game. They have lost just four times in their last 16 games played at home. I’m picking the Kansas City Chiefs to beat the Houston Texans on 10/13/19. Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs
Other Bets To Make
The Texans are 3-2 ATS in five games played this season and they are 2-0 ATS in two road games played so far. Houston is also 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games against the AFC West Division. The Chiefs are also 3-2 ATS in five games played this season and are 1-1 ATS in two home games played so far. Kansas City is 6-3 ATS in their last nine Week 6 games played. Head to head, Kansas City is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings against the Texans, including 4-2 ATS in their last six games played.
Odds from TitanBet as of 10/09/19
The Chiefs have outscored the Texans by 7.1 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 10.33 points per game in their last three games played. Kansas City’s offense is too good to be stalled by a Texans defense that is ranked in the bottom 10 in the league in Passing Yards allowed this season. Kansas City is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games after failing to cover in their previous home game. Prediction: Chiefs -4.5
The total has gone over in six out of the last 8 games played by the Cowboys but the under is 11-4 in Dallas’ last 15 games played on the road. The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by the Jets. New York has seen the total go under five out of their last six NFC East opponents but over in five out of their last seven October games played. Head to head, the total has gone under in five out of the last seven games between these two teams.
Odds from TitanBet as of 10/09/19
These teams have combined to score 46.9 points per game in their last 10 games played and 45.67 points per game in their last three meetings. The Texans are averaging 26.2 points per game this season and the Chiefs are putting up 29.6 points per contest this year. These are two Top 10 scoring teams and when you have Patrick Mahomes on one side, the over is almost a given. The over is 12-5 in the Chiefs’ last 17 games played at Arrowhead Stadium. Prediction: Over 55