Srisaket Sor Rungvisai vs Juan Francisco Estrada 4/26/19 Odds, Preview and Prediction

WBC, Ring and Lineal super flyweight champion Srisaket Sor Rungvisai will take on Juan Francisco Estrada on April 26, 2019 at the Forum in Inglewood, California.

The bout will be a rematch of their February 2018 showdown which saw the Thai fighter win an exciting bout via majority decision.

Rungvisai is known as the fighter who beat former #1 pound for pound fighter Roman Gonzalez twice and convincingly both times. The 32-year old southpaw from Thailand has a professional record of 47-4-1 with 41 knockouts. Rungvisai has not lost a bout since a technical decision loss to Carlos Cuadras in 2014. The two-time super flyweight champion stands 5-3 and has a reach of 63 ½ inches. Rungvisai is coming off a 12-round unanimous decision win over Iran Diaz last October.

Estrada is the former flyweight world champion from Sonora, Mexico. The 28 year old orthodox fighter has a record of 38-3 with 26 knockouts. El Gallo stands 5-4 tall and has a reach of 66 inches. He’s picked up back to back wins since his loss to Rungvisai and in his most recent fight last December, Estrada retired countryman Victor Mendez after 8 rounds. Estrada has wins over Brian Viloria, Milan Melindo, Giovani Segura and Hernan Marquez. He also has a loss to Chocolatito whom Rungvisai dominated twice.

Who Wins?

Up to now many still don’t give Srisaket Sor Rungvisai the credit he deserves for beating Chocolatito twice. But regardless of what they say, this is a fighter who has won 20 consecutive bouts including 16 by stoppage. Overall, Rungvisai has 41 knockouts in 47 wins. That’s an 87% knockout rate which means he really has the punching power in this weight class and we shouldn’t have been surprised at how he knocked out Chocolatito in the second fight and dropped him in their first encounter. Remember that Gonzalez was originally a 105-pounder who made his way up the weight classes.

In Rungvisai’s last loss, Carlos Cuadras boxed him instead of brawling with him from the get go. Cuadras kept himself away from the Thai’s punching range and utilized plenty of movement to keep Rungvisai on his toes. Although that bout ended in a technical decision, there was no doubt that Cuadras outboxed Rungvisai for most parts of the contest.

The reason why I discussed Rungvisai’s wis over Chocolatito and his loss to Cuadras is because those are the fights that Estrada must watch carefully. First, he must not engage the Thai champion in a brawl the way Chocolatito did. Then, he must utilize the entire floor area of the boxing ring in order to frustrate the champion and make him miss with his power shots. Rungvisai is a good boxer but no doubt, Estrada is the better skilled boxer here who can outpoint Rungvisai if he plays his cards correctly.

In their first bout, Estrada made the mistake of trading and got dropped immediately in round one. He came on strong, especially with body punches but the Thai champion still won the bout by majority decision, which I think was fair because it was Rungvisai who looked more dominant. Estrada now knows how heavy the Thai punches so, it will be interesting to see what adjustments he makes.

I think Estrada tried to box his way around Rungvisai this time around with the champion trying to cut off the ring and land his big shots. I don’t see how Estrada goes 12 rounds without getting hit by those bombs so while I think Estrada is going to make a fight out of this, he isn’t going to be dominant enough to take the title away, Remember that he is the challenger, not the champion. Expect Rungvisai to go for the knockout because he wants closure here. If not, he’s going to win on points the way he did before. I’m picking Srisaket Sor Rungvisai to beat Juan Francisco Estrada on 4/27/19.

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Daniel Roman vs T.J. Doheny

WBA super bantamweight champion Daniel Roman and his IBF counterpart T.J. Doheny will square off in a title unification bout in the undercard of Rungvisai vs Estrada. The 28 year old Roman has a record of 26-2-1 with 10 knockouts. The Los Angeles native is 5-5 tall with a reach of 67 ½ inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. Doheny is 32 years old and has an unbeaten record of 21-0 with 15 knockouts. He is also 5-5 with a reach of 68 inches and fights as a southpaw. Roman will have some advantage with this bout being held in his hometown. On the other hand, Doheny is looking to become only the fourth Irish unified world boxing champion after Carl Frampton, Ryan Burnett and Katie Taylor.

Although Roman isn’t a very hard puncher, he is an aggressive fighter who loves to come forward and beat you with his punch output. He is a solid fighter, with good fundamentals plus a solid chin and great stamina. On the other hand, Doheny is definitely the bigger puncher between the two but he doesn’t have Roman’s volume. I think this is going to be a pick’em fight as these are two champions. I won’t be surprised if this ends in a split decision or a decision that is disputed. This isn’t a fight I want to bet on but if forced to pick, I will give the edge to Daniel Roman because I think he is the more balanced fighter, has better all-around skills and has the better punch output. Prediction: Daniel Roman by decision

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Jessie Vargas vs Humberto Soto

Former WBO welterweight champion Jessie Vargas will take on former world champion Humberto Soto in the undercard. The 29 year old Vargas stands 5-10 with a reach of 71 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. Vargas has a record of  28-2-2 with 10 KOs. Soto meanwhile is 39 years old, 5-8 in height with a reach of 69 inches. The Mexican has a record of 69-9-2 with 37 knockouts.

This should be a do-or-die fight for Soto and he knows it. The odds may be stacked against him but remember he beat Brandon Rios facing the same odds. When you take a look at their skills, there is no doubt that Soto is the much better technical boxer and has more ring experience. He is crafty, can make in-ring adjustments and will find whatever way he can to beat you. But I think that Vargas has the edge here not only because he is younger but he is the naturally bigger fighter and may have heavier hands. We said the same thing about Rios but unlike Rios, Vargas is a smart fighter who can box and who is very technically skilled. I don’t think Vargas needs too much skill here. I think he’s going to walk through Soto and retire him. Prediction: Jessie Vargas by knockout

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