Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers 01/12/20 NFL Betting Odds and Pick

The Seattle Seahawks head to Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers in the divisional round of the 2019 NFL playoffs.

The Seahawks defeated the Philadelphia Eagles in the wild card round, taking advantage of Carson Wentz being out and Josh McCown throwing in his first-ever playoff game. Seattle prevailed 17-9 but committed plenty of turnovers in that game. They face a tough task next with the very experienced Aaron Rodgers leading the Green Bay Packers. Rodgers wasn’t exactly impressive during the final month of the regular season. But the Packers got the job done, finished with the 2nd seed in the NFC and earned a bye. With a week’s rest, Green Bay should be ready to open its 2019 playoff campaign at their home field.

Plenty of Turnovers

The Seattle Seahawks finished the regular season with an 11-5 record, earning a spot in the wild card round where they defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 17-9 in a game where the Seahawks committed plenty of turnovers. Seattle had a total of 11 turnovers against Philadelphia and lost a total of 114 yards as a result. While they got away with that against the Eagles, Seattle can’t afford to commit the same errors against the Packers.

Russell Wilson threw for a total of 4,110 yards with 31 touchdowns and only five interceptions during the regular season. Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny were Seattle’s top rushers but with both out due to injuries, rookie Travis Homer and veteran Marshawn Lynch have been called upon to lead the ground attack. Tyler Locket had 1,057 receiving yards on 82 catches while DK Metcalf had 900 yards and seven touchdown grabs on 58 catches.

Seattle ranked 14th in passing at 236.9 passing yards per game and they were 4th on the ground with an average of 137.5 rushing yards. The Seahawks were 9th in the NFL in scoring at 25.3 points per game and they are giving up an average of 24.9 points per game this year.

Packers Begin Playoff Bid

The Green Bay Packers begin their 2019 playoff bid at Lambeau Field. Although they needed 13 fourth-quarter points and a last-second field goal by Mason Crosby to defeat the 3-12-1 Detroit Lions in their final regular-season assignment, that win game gave the team a 13-3 record and a first-round bye.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 4,002 passing yards with 26 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions during the regular season. Running back Aaron Jones had 1,084 total rushing yards with 16 touchdowns on 236 carries. Jones also had 49 catches for 474 yards and three touchdown grabs. Davante Adams caught a total of 997 yards with five touchdowns on 83 receptions.

Green Bay struggled to score points late in the season, averaging just 21.7 points per game in their final month of the regular season. They were in the middle of the pack in rushing at 112.2 yards per game but rushed 22.2 more yards per outing in their final three assignments. The Packers, however, ranked sixth in red-zone efficiency.

Who Wins?

Seattle is 10-4 SU in their last 14 games played. The Seahawks are 8-1 SU in their last nine games played on the road. Green Bay is 5-0 SU in their last five games played. The Packers are 5-0 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Packers are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played against the Seahawks.

Russell Wilson and DK Metcalf connected seven times for 160 yards against the Eagles. They will be up against a pass defense that’s just in the middle of the pack. Green Bay’s rush defense only ranks 23rd and this game should be an opportunity for Travis Homer and Marshawn Lynch to make up for their paltry 19-yard production against the Eagles.

Green Bay averaged 22 more rushing yards in the final three games of the regular season as compared to their season average. This was because Rodgers struggled late in the season. I expect Rodgers to be ready here but I also expect them to continue running more than usual. The possible return of offensive lineman Bryan Bulaga should be a big help.

When you look at the teams, Green Bay has weaknesses that Seattle can take advantage of. But as you go through the lineups, there are just too many players banged up in the Seattle side of the field. Aaron Rodgers is the kind of quarterback you want on a playoff team. He may have played poorly late in the season but after a bye week, you have to believe he is ready for this big game.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers

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Other Bets to Make

The Seahawks are 8-8-1 ATS in 17 games played this season. Seattle is 6-2-1 ATS in nine road games played this year. The Packers are 10-6 ATS in 16 regular-season games played. Green Bay is 5-3 ATS in eight home games played this season. Head to head, the Packers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Seahawks. Green Bay is also 5-0 ATS in their last five home games played against Seattle.

The Packers have played well after an ATS loss, going 8-0 ATS after such setbacks. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have struggled at Lambeau Field as they have failed to cover in each of their last trips there. Seattle is so banged up right now at almost every position that it’s really hard to trust them, even at a +4.5. Rodgers didn’t play well in the final weeks of the regular season. But this is the playoffs. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last six playoff games while the Seahawks are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven divisional playoff games.

Prediction: Packers -4.5

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The under is 3-1-1 in the last five games played by the Seahawks. Seattle has seen the total go under in five out of seven road games against their conference rivals. The total has also gone under in four out of their last six games played on the road. The total has gone under in seven out of the last eight games played by Green Bay. The Packers have seen the total go under in three out of their last four home games played. Head to head, the total has gone over in four out of the last six meetings between these two teams.

The under is 5-2 in Seattle’s last seven games played against the NFC North. The under is also 9-3 in Green Bay’s last 12 games played against NFC West opponents and also 7-1 in their last eight games against the NFC Conference. These teams have combined to score an average of 46.1 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 41.67 points per game in their most recent three head to head matches. When you look at Green Bay’s last four outings, you have to think this game is going under. The total has averaged just 36.25 points during that stretch and the Green Bay defense hasn’t allowed more than 20 points in their last five games. Seattle has scored more than 21 points only twice in their last seven games played. This one should be a close and low-scoring affair.

Prediction: Under 47

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