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This week’s Monday Night Football matchup features the San Francisco 49ers playing the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.
This was supposed to be a marquee matchup between Jimmy G versus Aaron Rodgers but Garoppolo is out with a season ending injury for the Niners while Rodgers has been playing hurt for the Packers. Because of those circumstances, this has instead become a battle for survival.
In Search Of First Road Win
The San Francisco 49ers enter this game in search of their first road win of the season. The Niners are just 1-4 this year and like the Packers, they hope to keep their postseason hopes alive with a big win on Monday night.
Matt Breida leads San Francisco’s running game with 369 yards and one touchdown. Kyle Juszczyk and George Kittle have combined for a total of 506 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Meanwhile, Pierre Garcon has 16 catches for the 49ers.
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers 10/15/18
Moneyline Odds: 49ers +340, Packers -410
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 10/12/18
Staying Unbeaten At Home
Like the 49ers, the Packers have yet to win a game on the road this season. But the good thing for Green Bay, they are 2-0-1 at home. With every game from hereon, they need to pick up more wins to reach the postseason.
Jamal Williams has 195 total rushing yards on 53 attempt while Davante Adams and Geronimo Allison have combined for a total of 714 receiving yards and six scores. Jimmy Graham has 22 receptions for the Green Bay Packers.
Who Wins?
The 49ers are 1-4 SU in their last five games but only 4-17 SU in their last 21 road games. The Packers are 2-5-1 SU in their last 8 games played but are 10-4-1 in their last 15 games at home. Against the 49ers, Green Bay is also 14-5 SU in their last 19 games and 8-2 SU at home when playing against San Francisco.
No question that Green Bay is the better team here and they are also playing better at this stage of the season. But the worry about the Packers is their health, including Rodgers’ who’s been dealing with a banged up knee. Despite the concerns, I think the Packers and Rodgers have enough to pull off a win here.
We’re picking the Green Bay Packers to beat the Oakland Raiders on 10/15/18.
The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against the NFC and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games played in October. The 49ers are also just 4-10-3 ATS in their last 17 games against the Packers and 1-3-2 ATS in their last six road games against Green Bay.
Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against opponents with a losing record and 19-9-1 in their last 29 games played in October. In their last 8 games overall though, the Packers are only 2-6 ATS.
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers 10/15/18
Spread Odds: 49ers +9.5 (-110), Packers -9.5 (-110)
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 10/12/18
Sure, the Raiders have lost four times already this season but when you talk about spread, their average losing margin in those four games is only 7.75 with their biggest losing margin at 11 versus the Kansas City Chiefs. Meanwhile Green Bay has a 22 point win but their only other win has been by just one point and they have a 29-29 tie this season.
If I have to pick here, I’d go with the +9 for the 49ers but that’s by virtue of elimination: I’m not confident with the Packers at -9.5.
The total is 7-1 in San Francisco’s last 8 games and also 5-1 in Green Bay’s last 6 games. The total has also gone over in six out of the last eight games between the 49ers and Packers. The total is likewise 6-3 in the last 9 games between these two teams in Green Bay.
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers 10/15/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 46.5 -110, Under 46.5 -110
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/12/18
Green Bay is currently averaging just 23.0 points per game this season and have not scored more than 29 points in any of their games this year. But in four out of the five games they’ve played so far, the total score has been at least 47 points. On the other hand, the 49ers are allowing 29.2 points per game, 29th in the NFL. In four out of their first five games, the aggregate score has been 46 points or more. These two teams haven’t been really good on offense but neither have they been in defense.
Prediction: Over 46.5
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