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The San Antonio Spurs begin their annual Rodeo Trip with a visit to the Sacramento Kings on Monday night.
Annual Rodeo Trip
The Spurs will be away from their home floor for eight consecutive games as they embark on their annual “Rodeo Trip”. San Antonio is hoping that they do better than the 2-4 SU record they got in this yearly road trip. After finishing a four game home stand with a 113-108 win over the Pelicans, the Spurs have now won five in a row and look to carry the momentum to this year’s Rodeo Trip.
San Antonio is ranked 12th in scoring at 112.6 points per game. The Spurs are also 11th in assists with their 25.0 average dimes per ball game. They are only 20th in the league in rebounding with 44.5 boards grabbed per contest. The Spurs are allowing 110.1 points per game, giving them the NBA’s 14th best scoring defense.
San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings 2/4/19
Moneyline Odds: Spurs -125, Kings +100
Odds from gtbets.eu as of 2/4/19
Developing Faster Than Expected
The Kings have seen success early in the season because their young core is developing faster than most expected. Sacramento heads to this encounter having won six straight games at their home floor and the Kings took down the hyped Philadelphia 76ers 115-108 in their last home game on Saturday night. Buddy Hield led the Kings with 34 points while rookie Marvin Williams had 14 points and 13 boards in 33 minutes. Likewise second year man De’Aaron Fox issued eight assists along with 19 points in Saturday’s win.
Sacramento has the 8th best scoring offense in the league at 113.4 points per game. The Kings are ranked 9th in passing at 25.8 assists per game and they are also 19th of the glass with 44.7 rebounds per outing. Sacramento is giving up the 6th most points in the NBA at 114.9 points per game.
Who Wins?
San Antonio is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played including 3-1 SU int four road games during that period. Sacramento is 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played. The Kings are 4-0 SU in their last four games played at home. Head to head, San Antonio is 9-1 SU in their last 19 meetings versus Sacramento. The Spurs are also 8-2 SU in their last 10 meetings against the Kings when playing in Sacramento.
For the Kings, Buddy Hield is coming off a red hot month of January where he averaged 21.3 points per game and shot .504 from the floor and .538 from behind the three point area. Bagley has posted a double-double in his last two games and is averaging 14.3 points and 8.5 rebounds in his last six games while Bogdan Bogdanovic has struggled to shoot in his last five games, making only six out of 33 three pointers (.182) over that period.
San Antonio is just 3-3 SU in their last six road games while Sacramento has won its last six road games. This is a game between San Antonio’s experience and Sacramento’s youth. I like the Kings as live underdogs but they have struggled to close out against top caliber teams. San Antonio is on a roll right now and have dominated this match-up historically.
I think the Spurs contain the Kings’ young stars here and get the big road win. I’m picking the San Antonio Spurs to beat the Sacramento Kings on 2/4/19.
Other Bets To Make
The Spurs are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played. San Antonio is 4-0 ATS in their last four games on the road. The Kings are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. Sacramento is 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. Head to head, the Kings are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Spurs but the Spurs are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games played in Sacramento.
San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings 2/4/19
Spread Odds: Spurs -1.5 (-109), Kings +1.5 (-109)
Odds from gtbets.eu as of 2/4/19
San Antonio is 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine against the Pacific Division and 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Spurs are also 11-4-1 in their last 16 meetings in Sacramento and the road team is 20-9-1 in the last 30 meetings between these two teams.The Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games played, 7-2 ATS in their last nine Monday games and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games when playing on one day rest. Sacramento is an impressive 18-8 ATS at home but are 3-9 ATS in their last dozen games against teams with a winning straight up record. I like the Kings in the underdog role but the line is too thin against a veteran team like the Spurs.
Prediction: Spurs-1.5
The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games played by the Spurs. The over is 3-1 in the Spurs’ last four road games played. The total has gone under in eight out of the last 10 games played by the Kings. Sacramento has seen the under hit in three out of their last four home games played. Head to head, the over is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams but the under is 6-4 in their last 10 meetings in Sacramento.
San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings 2/4/19
Over/Under Odds: Over 227.5 -109, Under 227.5 -109
Odds from gtbets.eu as of 2/4/19
San Antonio has played to the over as of late as they’ve averaged 123 points per game in their last five games. However, they will only be playing to Sacramento’s strength if they engage them in a high scoring affair. San Antonio has the 14th ranked defense in the league and the under is 12-3-1 in the Kings’ last 16 games overall plus the last two meetings between these teams have gone under. I think the Spurs get the stops and the win.
Prediction: Under 227.5
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