The New England Patriots stake their unbeaten record against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, 11/3/19 at the M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. This will be the first time since 2013 that New England steps foot in Baltimore. Are you ready to have some fun betting on football?
Patriots Still Undefeated
Eight games have passed and the New England Patriots are still undefeated. The reigning Super Bowl Champions used their vaunted defense to take care of business against the Cleveland Browns last week. New England scored two touchdowns from three Cleveland turnovers and ended up winning 27-13.
Tom Brady has thrown for 2,251 yards with 13 touchdowns and just four interceptions on the season. Julian Edelman has 53 catches for 574 yards and four touchdowns. New England’s rushing game has been a disappointment at only 3.2 yards per carry but when you have the best defense in the league, you can afford to have some weaknesses.
The Patriots are 7th in the NFL in passing at 274.6 yards per game. However, they rank just 23rd with an average of 95.3 rushing yards per contest. The New England offense is scoring an average of 31.0 points per game this season and they are allowing an impressive league-leading 7.0 points per game this year.
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 11/01/19
Making a Statement
The Baltimore Ravens are 5-2 SU on the season but are still not getting the respect they deserve. Baltimore’s wins against the Cardinals, Steelers, and Bengals came by an average of just five points. The Ravens also have a win against the hapless Dolphins so their critics say their success has come because of a soft schedule. Now they play the unbeaten Patriots and hope to make a statement at home.
Lamar Jackson has passed for 1,650 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. Jackson is also his team’s top rusher at 82.3 rushing yards per game with three rushing touchdowns this season. During their last outing, a 30-16 win over Seattle, Jackson passed for 143 yards and rushed for another 116 yards.
Baltimore ranks 18th in passing at 230.7 passing yards per contest. They are the #1 rushing team in the league at 204.1 rushing yards per contest. The Ravens are scoring 30.6 points per game this season and they are allowing their opponents to score 22.3 points per game. Baltimore heads home as the NFL betting underdogs against the unbeaten New England squad.
New England is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played. The Patriots are 5-0 SU in their last five games played on the road. Baltimore is 11-4 SU in their last 15 games played. The Ravens are 2-1 SU in three home games played this season and 4-1 SU in their last five November games played. Head to head, the Patriots are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games against the Ravens.
Their defense has been the main reason why New England remains unbeaten. Against Cleveland, they forced three turnovers and scored 14 points off them and that proved to be the winning margin after the game. Brady didn’t look that sharp but again, it was the defense that bailed him out.
As for Baltimore, Lamar Jackson is still trying to prove that he isn’t one-dimensional. But in their last outing, he went 9-20 for 143 yards and Jackson only has one passing touchdown in his last three games. Wide receiver Marquise Brown has not played since week 5 and I’m not sure if he makes it to this contest.
The Baltimore defense isn’t what it used to be. It has too many holes and the players are no longer spring chickens. On the other hand, New England is defending as we’ve never seen them before. And their scary because they can win on a bad night from Tom Brady. I think New England is just playing too good to lose here. Baltimore relies too much on the run and they don’t have the defense that can stop the Pats from scoring.
Prediction: New England Patriots
Other Bets to Make
The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games played. New England is 3-1 ATS in four road games played this season and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games played against the AFC North Division. The Ravens are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games played. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS in their last six games played at home and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against the AFC East Division. Head to head, the Ravens are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings but the Patriots are 2-1 ATS in their last three encounters.
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/01/19
New England has outscored Baltimore by an average of 15 points per game in their last three games played and 2.5 points per game in their last 10 meetings. This should be a low scoring contest because I expect the Ravens to run the football here given the success that the Browns had on the ground against the Patriots last week. Jackson is unlike someone that New England has played against this season and that could pose some problems. But I can’t bet against the Patriots defense right now because Belichick keeps on finding ways to neutralize the opponent’s QB.
Prediction: Patriots -3
The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by New England. The under is 4-0 in New England’s four road games played this season and the under is 5-1 in their last six games against the AFC Conference. The total has gone over in four out of the seven games played by the Ravens this season. Baltimore has seen the total go under in two out of their three home games played this season. Head to head, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams and the over is also 4-1 in the last five games between these two teams in Baltimore.
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/01/19
These teams have combined to score 50.1 points per game in their last 10 games played and 55.66 points per game in their last three encounters. New England has gone over the 45-point total only once this season while the Ravens have seen their total go over 45 in four of their last five games played. New England has the best defense in the league and it’s one of the best we’ve ever seen in the history of the NFL. I’m not sure for how long they can keep it but with the way they are stopping their opponents right now, this game will fall short of 45 points. New England has not allowed more than 14 points in a game this season.
Prediction: Under 45