The Carolina Panthers test the Green Bay Packers when they collide at Lambeau Field on November 10, 2019.
The Panthers are coming off a 10-point win over the Tennessee Titans last week while the Packers saw their four-game winning run snapped by the Los Angeles Chargers. This game will pit two early candidates in Christian McCaffrey of Carolina and Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers.
Panthers Making a Push
The Carolina Panthers are making a push to the postseason as they have won five out of their last six games. The Panthers are fresh from a 30-20 victory over the Tennessee Titans behind another strong effort by early MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey who had three touchdowns in the game.
McCaffrey leads the NFL in rushing yards per game, rushing touchdowns, and total touchdowns. The early MVP front-runner has accounted for nearly 60% of his team’s total touchdowns and 40% of their total yards gained. With the Green Bay Packers allowing the 7th most yards per game this season, McCaffrey should carry a big load again in this game.
Kyle Allen has been 5-1 SU and ATS since taking over from the injured Cam Newton. Allen will start again in this game and he went 17-32 for 232 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in their last outing. The Panthers are a sizeable NFL betting underdog against the Packers.
Odds were taken from TitanBet as of 11/08/19
Green Bay Got Stalled
The Green Bay Packers are having a terrific start under first-year head coach Matt LaFleur. The team has been one of the strongest contenders in the NFC after nine weeks of action. However, Green Bay got stalled last week after their four-game winning streak was halted by the Los Angeles Chargers.
Aaron Rodgers went 23 for 35 for 161 yards and one touchdown in a game where the Packers offense had less than 100 yards entering the fourth quarter. Green Bay fell behind 0-19 early and was never able to get any offense going to mount a comeback. Despite that, Rodgers has been splendid this season with 2,485 passing yards with 17 touchdowns and only two interceptions.
Running back Aaron Jones has rushed for a total of 496 yards along with eight touchdowns while also catching 35 passes for 354 receiving yards and three scores. The return of Davante Adams last week is also a bonus for this Green Bay team which has displayed great balance so far this season. They should have little trouble bouncing back this week.
Carolina is 5-1 SU in their last six games played. The Panthers are 3-1 SU in four road games this season and 12-5 SU in their last 17 November games played. Green Bay is 4-1 SU in their last five games played. The Packers are 4-1 SU in their last five games played at home. Head to head, Green Bay is 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played against Carolina but the Panthers have won two out of the most recent three meetings.
The Panthers are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games because of their defense and because they have MVP candidate Christan McCaffrey who is the league’s top rusher. They should be able to keep up with the Packers in this one and give the home team a stiff challenge.
Green Bay is coming off a disappointing loss but this one’s going to be played at their home field where they have been tough to crack. Carolina has a top pass defense that should give Green Bay some problem but then the Panthers are only 27th in rush defense and the Packers should take advantage before Rodgers takes over in the 4th.
Rodgers is 69-19-1 in his career at Lambeau Field and when you have numbers like those, it’s hard to bet against them. I’m picking the Green Bay Packers to beat the Carolina Panthers.
Other Bets to Make
The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played. The Panthers are 3-1 ATS in four road games played this season. The Packers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games played. Green Bay is 3-2 ATS in five home games this season and 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games played against the NFC Conference. Head to head, Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last five games played against the Packers.
Odds from TitanBet as of 11/08/19
The Panthers’ have one of the best passing defenses in the NFL but Green Bay has a balanced offensive attack. I think this is going to be a close game but on the 4th, I expect Rodgers to come up with the big plays, as usual. Green Bay is going to win by at least a touchdown here.
Prediction: Packers -5.5
The total has gone over in five out of the last six games played by the Panthers. Carolina has seen the total go over in four out of their last five road games. The total had gone over in five out of the last seven games played by Green Bay. The over is 3-2 in the Packers’ five home games this season. Head to head, the total has gone over in each of the last seven games played by these teams. The over is also 5-1 in the last six games between the Panthers and Packers in Green Bay.
Odds from TitanBet as of 11/08/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 50.8 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 58.67 points per game in their last three head to head encounters. Carolina has played to a total of 50 or more points in six out of their 8 games played this season while Green Bay has gone over 50 points in four out of their last six games played. The trends point to over and the Packers play extremely well at home and they have scored a total of 140 points in five home games this season. The weather outlook also looks good so I expect this Green Bay team to be able to find holes in the Carolina defense and put up plenty of points on the scoreboard.
Prediction: Over 47