Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants 10/6/19 Pick

The Minnesota Vikings head to Metlife Stadium on Sunday, October 6th, to test rookie QB Daniel Jones and his New York Giants.

Vikings Are Struggling

The Minnesota Vikings were touted as among this season’s elite teams during the preseason but after four games played so far, they are struggling to find the winning form. Minnesota is just 2-2 on the season with two losses to divisional rivals. In their last outing, they dropped a 6-16 contest to the Chicago Bears who lost their starting quarterback in the opening play of that contest.

Kirk Cousins threw for 233 yards but was sacked six times and had two fumbles. Cousins hasn’t really gotten off this year as he’s averaging just 184 passing yards per contest and has only three touchdowns with two interceptions. After the loss to the Bers, Cousins got called out by Adam Thielen in a post-game interview with the latter speaking about how one-dimensional the Minnesota offense has been this season. It didn’t help that Minnesota’s running game produced just 40 rushing yards against the Bears.

A New Era

For the New York Giants, a new era has arrived. Eli Manning is out and rookie quarterback Daniel Jones has been given the keys to run the team. Jones has been very solid so far, getting wins in his first two games as the Giants’ starter. The 6th overall pick of the 2019 NFL draft has shown plenty of promise and more importantly, has injected new life to the franchise.

Jones is averaging just 192 passing yards per contest and he will be tested against a Minnesota defense which is ranked 6th in the NFL in defense. In his first outing, Jones presided on an improbable comeback against the Buccaneers and in his second start, he helped New York crush the Washington Redskins. It will be interesting to see how he fares against the Vikings, especially since the Giants will still be without superstar running back Saquon Barkley. Jones however, will have top receivers Sterling Shepard who is back and tight end Evan Engram.

Who Wins?

Minnesota is the NFL betting favorite here and they are 6-1 SU in their last seven games played in October. The Vikings are 2-2 SU this season and are 0-2 SU on the road this year. New York is 0-5 SU in their last five games played in October. The Giants are 2-5 SU in their last seven games played and 5-13 SU in their last 18 games played at home. Head to head, the Vikings are 6-2 SU in their last eight games played.

The Vikings have won 10 out of the 15 matchups between these two teams including the last two. Minnesota won at home, 24-10, in the most recent game between the Vikings and Giants on October 3, 2016.

Daniel Jones has injected new life to the New York Giants and he has gotten the win in his first two outings. However, he faced the second and third worst defenses during those games and he will get his first real test when he meets Minnesota’s 6th ranked defense on Sunday. If Jones struggles, it’s going to be tough with New York still without Saquon Barkley. I like Minnesota to pick up the win here. Prediction: Minnesota Vikings

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Other Bets To Make

The Vikings are 2-2 ATS on the season but Minnesota is 0-2 ATS in their two road games this season. The Giants are also 2-2 ATS on the season and 1-1 ATS in two home games played so far. Head to head, the Vikings are 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings in New York and Minnesota is also 9-3 ATS in their last dozen games against the AFC East division.

The Vikings have the better defensive unit on the field on Sunday. And against a young QB in Daniel Jones who averaged just 192 passing yards in two games against bottom-three defensive teams, I like the Vikings to cover the spread here. Prediction: Vikings -5.5

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The total has gone under in five out of the last six games played by the Vikings and the under is 5-0 in Minnesota’s last five games played on the road. The total has gone over in 8 out of the last 12 games played by the Giants. The under is 5-2 in the Giants’ last seven games against the NFC North Division but over in five out of their last six games against the NFC conference. Head to head, the total has gone under in six out of the last nine meetings between these two teams.

The total has gone under in three out of the last four games between these teams and the average combined score in those games was 38.5. These teams have combined to score 44.0 points per game in their last 10 games played and 43.33 points per game in their last three meetings. Without Saquon Barkley, I don’t think the Giants are going to help in the scoring here. Prediction: Under 44.5

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