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The Milwaukee Brewers and the St. Louis Cardinals will close out their season series with a crucial game on Wednesday, September 26th at the Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri.
Milwaukee is coming off a huge 12-4 win over the Cardinals on Tuesday. The victory put a dent on the Cardinals’ playoff hopes as St. Louis fell a half game behind the Colorado Rockies in the race for the second wild card spot in the National League.
With the win, the Brewers moved closer to the NL Central leading Chicago Cubs and kept their lead over the Colorado Rockies in the race for the top wild card spot in the NL. Milwaukee now only trails Chicago by 1 ½ games while their lead over the Rockies is now at 3 ½ games.
Red Hot Yelich
Christian Yelich drove in six runs for the Brewers on Tuesday as he kept his red hot month going. Yelich is batting .346 with seven home runs and 28 RBIS in 22 games played so far in the month of September and is a strong contender for National League MVP honors.
In his last outing last September 21st, Chacin got a no-decision as the Brewers beat the Pirates 8-3. Chacin gave up three runs on four hits and one walk with one strikeout. Prior to that game he went 0-3 while giving up a total of six runs in a total 14.2 innings pitched across three starts.
In a total of 10 career games against the Cardinals, Chacin has an ERA of 6.10 but in his last start against St. Louis last August 19, 2018, he pitched six scoreless frames and walked away with the victory.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals 9/26/18
Odds: Brewers +100, Cardinals -110
Odds from Sportbetting.ag as of 9/25/18
Playoff Hopes In Danger
The Cardinals entered this set with a three game winning streak and looked like they were going to close the gap with the Brewers in the team standings. But Milwaukee has won the first two games of the current set, putting St. Louis’ playoff hopes in danger.
Gant’s last outing was a no-decision last Sept. 21st against the San Francisco Giants. He pitched 2.2 innings and gave up one run on four hits and three walks with three strikeouts as the Cardinals won 5-3.
Gant has not completed five innings in three out of his last four starts and the Savannah, Georgia native is averaging 4.4 walks per nine innings. Cardinals’ manager Mike Shildt has expressed “mild concern” about Gan’ts continued problems with his pitch control although that concern hasn’t been significant enough to bump him off the pitching rotation.
Who Wins?
Heading to Tuesday’s games the Brewers lead their season series 9-8 with two games left to play. The Brewers have won the last two meetings but the Cardinals have won four out of the last six. The Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 games in St. Louis.
Milwaukee has 4-1 in their last five games and 4-1 in their last five outings on the road. They are 13-6 in Chacin’s last 19 starts while coming off four days rest. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 home games against teams with winning records and 1-4 in their last five home games against teams with winning road records. St. Louis has also dropped five out of six games where Gant started against teams with winning records and are 1-4 in his last five home starts against teams with winning records.
Though the series has been close, the Brewers have won the last three meetings between these teams. Gant has struggled in his last five starts and his control issues worry me each time he takes the mound. Milwaukee is coming off a huge 12-4 win on Tuesday that put the Cardinals’ hopes in peril. Between St. Louis bouncing back and Milwaukee keeping momentum, I’m going with the latter. We’re picking the Milwaukee Brewers to beat the St. Louis Cardinals on 9/26/18.
Other Bets To Make
The Brewers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. Milwaukee is also 10-3 in their last 13 games when playing the Cardinals in St. Louis.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals 9/26/18
Spread Odds: Brewers +1.5 (-210), Cardinals -1.5 (+180)
Odds from Sportbetting.ag as of 9/25/18
In Milwaukee’s last six wins, their average winning margin was 6.17 runs and the smallest margin of victory in those six wins was two runs or just enough to cover Wednesday’s spread. Milwaukee’s offense has been brewing as of late. We picked them to win the game and we’re picking them to win by at least two runs. Prediction: Brewers +1.5
The total run line has been set at 8.5 And if we look at the trends, they favor the Over. The total has gone over in 4 out of the Brewers last 5 games and over in the Cardinals’ last 5 games. The total has gone over in 4 out of the last five games of Milwaukee on the road and over in all of St. Louis’ last five games. Four out of the last six games between these teams saw the total go over.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals 9/26/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115
Odds from Sportbetting.ag as of 9/25/18
The Brewers have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 11 games while the Cardinals have poured in 4.9 runs per game in their last 10 games. Prediction: Over 8.5
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