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The Michigan Wolverines take on the Ohio State Buckeyes at the Ohio Stadium on Saturday, November 24, 2018 in a game that has Big Ten title game implications.
The Wolverines have won 10 in a row and are coming off a 31-20 win over Indiana while the Buckeyes have won three in a row after losing to Purdue. Ohio State though, barely got past Maryland 52-51 in their game last week.
Curse Of Ohio State
Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh has heard about the curse of Ohio State before. Since coming over to Michigan, Harbaugh hasn’t beaten the Buckeyes but at 0-3 against them, the curse goes farther back in history. On Saturday though, Harbaugh gets his fourth shot at Ohio State but this time, it’s the first time as a betting favorite. Harbaugh hopes that the chance in betting position could also change the outcome and break the curse.
Michigan vs Ohio State 11/24/18
Moneyline Odds: Michigan -193, Ohio State +168
Odds from sportsbetting.ag as of 11/22/18
Another Escape Act
The Ohio State Buckeyes produced another escape act after they pulled off a 52-51 thriller over Maryland after the Terrapins failed to convert on an overtime two point conversion.The victory moved the Buckeyes to 10-1 on the season but at 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games, they have been winning games as if they aren’t the Ohio State program that we all know. Despite that, the Buckeyes are just one win away from booking a Big 10 title game against Northwestern and that’s what’s on the line in this game.
If the Wolverines have the best pass defense in the nation, the Buckeyes have the third best pass offense in the land. Quarterback Dwayne Haskins has been sensational for Ohio State, throwing for a total of 3,685 yards and leading his team to the 8th best scoring offense in the nation at 41.64 points per game. Haskins’ exploits have allowed Ohio State to survive despite having the 52nd best scoring defense, 78th best pass defense and 63rd best run defense.
Who Wins?
Michigan is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played and 14-7 SU in their last 21 games played on the road. On the other hand, Ohio State is 15-1 SU in their last 16 games played and are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home. Head to head, the Buckeyes are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against the Wolverines and are also 5-0 SU in their last five home games against Michigan.
Kara Higdon should be the difference maker in this game as he’s rushed for at least 100 yards in all but two of their games this season. With Ohio State allowing 161.2 yards on the ground per game, Higdon could have a field day against the Buckeyes.
Saturday’s game marks the first time that the Wolverines have been favorites against the Buckeyes since 2011, which was the only time they won a game in this matchup since 2003. Michigan should go to Columbus on Saturday to finally break the curse of Ohio State.
We’re picking the Michigan Wolverines to beat the Ohio State Buckeyes on 11/24/18.
Other Bets To Make
The Wolverines are 4-2 ATS in their last six games played and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on the road. The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and are 3-3 ATS in six home games this season. Head to head, Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Ohio State/
Michigan vs Ohio State 11/24/18
Spread Odds: Michigan -5 (-113), Ohio State +5 (-107)
Odds from sportsbetting.ag as of 11/22/18
Although the Wolverines haven’t had been winning SU, they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings dating back to 2013. The Wolverines’ offense has improved over the season and Kara Higdon should have a good game against a fragile Ohio State Defense. The Wolverines should cover the spread here.
Prediction: Michigan -5 (-113)
The under is 5-2 in Michigan’s last seven road games and the under is also 4-1 in Ohio State’s last 5 games at home. Head to head, the total has gone over in the last five games played between Michigan and Ohio State and the over is also 5-2 in their last seven games played in Ohio.
Michigan vs Ohio State 11/24/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 56.5 -105, Under 56.5 -115
Odds from sportsbetting.ag as of 11/22/18
You don’t expect a defense like Michigan’s to be involved in a game that has a combined score of 57 points but while defense will set the tone for this game, it won’t stop this game from being a high scoring one given that Dwayne Haskins is on the other end of the field. As we said earlier, the Wolverines haven’t faced a quarterback like Haskins yet this season. Also, the over has been in play in the recent matchups between these two teams.The total has gone over in the last five games between these two teams with an average combined score of 63.2 points.
Prediction: Over 56.5 -105
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