Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder 01/27/20 NBA Betting Odds and Prediction

The Dallas Mavericks take on the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Chesapeake Energy Arena on January 27, 2020.

The Mavs made a big move to acquire Willie Caulie-Stein to offset the loss of Dwight Powell to an Achilles injury. Dallas has lost two out of its last three games played but have won five of seven overall. The Thunder have won five straight games but OKC played its last game without Danilo Gallinari and Nerlens Noel who are both nursing injuries. The Thunder beat the Mavs 106-101 in their first meeting of the season at this same venue.

Mavs Have Lost Two out of Three

The Mavericks have lost two out of their last three games after a four-game winning streak. They are 28-17 SU on the season and in 2nd place in the Southwest Division, just one-half game behind the Houston Rockets in the divisional standings. In their last game played, Dallas lost to the Utah Jazz 107-112 last Saturday.

Luka Doncic leads Dallas with 29 points, 9.5 rebounds and 8.9 assists per game. Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 17.1 points and 9.0 rebounds per game while Tim Hardaway Jr. is scoring 14.2 points per game. Dallas lost Dwight Powell to an Achilles injury last Tuesday but they traded for Willie Caulie-Stein from the Sacramento Kings.

Dallas is the third-highest scoring team in the league at 116.6 points per game. They are ranked 14th in scoring defense at 109.8 points per game. The Mavericks are 4th off the glass at 47.4 rebounds per contest and are 15th in passing with an average of 24.1 assists per game.

Thunder Have Won Five Straight

The OKC Thunder have won five straight games and are coming off a win over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday night. Oklahoma City is currently at 28-19 SU and they are in 3rd place in the Northwest Division, five games behind the division-leading Utah Jazz

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is having a breakout year in Oklahoma City. SGA is putting up 19.7 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 3.1 assists per game. Chris Paul is scoring 17.2 points and leading the Thunder in passing at 6.4 assists per game while Dennis Schroder is averaging 18.8 points per game this season.

The Thunder are 17th in the league in scoring at 110.6 points per game. They are ranked 23rd in rebounding at 43.3 boards grabbed per contest and are 26th in passing at 21.9 dimes per contest. Oklahoma City is 11th overall in scoring defense at 108.1 points per game allowed.

Who Wins?

Dallas is 5-2 SU in their last seven games played. The Mavericks are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games played on the road. Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in their last five games played. The Thunder are 3-3 SU in their last six games played at home, and 5-0 SU in their last five games played in January. Head to head, the Mavericks are 5-3 SU in their last eight games played against the Thunder. However, Oklahoma City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 home games against Dallas.

The Mavericks have won five out of their last seven games played. But their two losses during this period were to the Los Angeles Clippers and Utah Jazz who are winning teams. OKC is 28-19 SU this season. Dallas lost Dwight Powell to a ruptured Achilles tendon but traded for Willie Caulie-Stein to compensate for Powell’s loss.

The Thunder have won seven out of their last 10 games played. OKC is currently on a five-game winning streak but their wins during this period were against four losing teams and the struggling Houston Rockets. Nerlens Noel is out of action while Danilo Gallinari is listed as day to day with a sore thumb.

OKC is pretty banged up right now and they will have to rely on their backcourt to deliver the goods. Dallas acquired Willy Caulie-Stein to mitigate the loss of Powell and I think he is going to be a good help for this team. Expect Doncic and Porzingis to lead the Mavs to a win here. Dallas plays an up-tempo game and they might be too fast for an OKC team that is playing its third game in four nights.

Prediction: Dallas Mavericks

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Other Bets to Make

The Mavericks are 4-3-3 ATS in their last 10 games played. Dallas is 2-0-2 ATS in their last four games played on the road. The Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last five games played. Oklahoma City is 3-3 ATS in their last six games played at home, and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games played games against the Western Conference. Head to head, the Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Thunder.

The Thunder have outscored the Mavs by an average of 7.33 points per game in their last 10 meetings. OKC defeated Dallas 106-101 in their first meeting of the season last December 31, 2019, at this very same venue. Danilo Gallinari and Nerlens Noel are listed as questionable for the Thunder. OKC got past Minnesota in their last game without the two but the Mavs are way better than the Wolves.

Prediction: Mavericks -1.5

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The over is 26-19 in 45 games played by the Mavericks this season. The total has gone over in 13 out of the 21 road games played by Dallas. The over is also 6-0 in the Mavs’ last six Monday games played. The total has gone over in seven out of the last nine games played by the Thunder. The over is 5-0 in the last five home games played by Oklahoma City. Head to head, the under is 6-3-1 in the last 10 games between these two teams.

Dallas has scored an average of 119.67 points per game in their last six games played and they have allowed an average of 116.4 points per game in their last five games played. The Thunder have scored an average of 118.1 points per game in their last eight assignments and they have scored at least 110 points in nine out of their last 10 games played. Dallas is the 3rd highest-scoring team in the league this season and these teams are in the bottom half in scoring defense. I like these teams to hit the over.

Prediction: Over 224.5

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