Miami Marlins vs Oakland Athletics 08/22/2022 MLB Odds and Prediction

Monday night will feature an interesting game between the inconsistent Miami Marlins and the struggling Oakland Athletics.

Oakland has the worst record in the American League at 45-77. They are 32.5 games behind the Houston Astros in the American League West division and their playoff hopes were gone a long time ago. Miami has been better at 52-68 although they too are having a bad year. The Marlins are 26 games behind the Mets in the NL East and are 4th from the bottom in the National League team standings.

The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games played and have lost four in a row. Meanwhile, the A’s are 4-6 in their last 10 games played but have won their last two games.

Miami Marlins

Miami got hammered by the Los Angeles Dodgers in their previous series. The feared Dodgers offense unleashed 17 combined runs in the final two games of their series. The Marlins will not worry about being outscored here as the A’s rank 29th overall in total runs scored this season.

The Marlins will be sending Pablo Lopez to the mound on Monday. The 26-year-old right-hander from Venezuela is 7-8 with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.17 in 24 starts this season.

Lopez has allowed 57 earned runs on 117 hits in 134.0 innings pitched this season. In his last start, Lopez conceded six runs on six hits in 4.2 innings pitched while picking up the loss against the Padres. The Marlins are 1-5 in Lopez’s last six starts.

Oakland Athletics

The A’s won the final two games of their three-game set against the Seattle Mariners to take a rare series win. Oakland has been struggling badly this season and is at the bottom of the American League. Overall, they have won four out of their last six-game played. They are however 19-39 when playing at Oakland Coliseum.

Adam Oller will open on top of the mound for the Athletics. The 27-year-old right-hander from Conroe, TX is 2-5 with an ERA of 6.63 and a WHIP of 1.69 in a total of 15 appearances including 10 starts. Oller has conceded 40 earned runs on 64 hits in a total of 54.1 innings pitched this season.

Oller is coming off a game where he allowed only one earned run on five hits in 6.0 innings pitched. He picked up the win as the A’s defeated the Texas Rangers 7-2 last August 17th. Oakland 3-12 in the 15 games he has appeared this season.

Marlins vs Athletics Betting Prediction

Head to head, the Marlins are 3-1 in their last four games played against the Athletics. Miami is also 3-1 in their last four road games against the Athletics.

The Marlins are:

• 7-19 in their last 26 games played overall.

• 1-5 in their last 6 road games.

• 3-13 in their last 16 games versus a right-handed starter.

• 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games versus a team with a losing record.

• 1-6 in their last 7 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 1-6 in their last 7 games following a loss.

• 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games against a right-handed starter.

• 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

• 1-7 in their last 8 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 0-7 in their last 7 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 0-5 in their last 5 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• 14-5 in their last 19 games against. a team with a winning % below .400.

• 17-35 in their last 52 interleague games versus a right-handed starter.

• 16-35 in their last 51 interleague games.

• 16-14 in their last 20 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 19-49 in their last 68 Game 1s of a series.

The Athletics are:

• 4-11 in their last 15 games played overall.

• 15-37 in their last 52 home games.

• 43-13 in their last 56 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 6-2 in their last 8 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.

• 8-3 in their last 11 home games versus a right-handed starter.

• 20-43 in their last 63 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 18-41 in their last 59 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• 3-7 in their last 10 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• 2-5 in their last 7 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• 14-37 in their last 51 Game 1s of a series.

• 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.

• 3-8 in their last 11 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• 4-11 in their last 15 games on grass.

• 2-6 in their last 8 interleague home games versus a team with a losing record.

• 2-7 in their last 9 Monday games.

• 2-7 in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record.

• 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 1-4 in their last 5 games versus the National League East.

• 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

• 5-22 in their last 27 home games against a team with a losing record.

• 1-7 in their last 8 games when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• 1-7 in their last 8 interleague games versus a right-handed starter.

• 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games.

• 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Marlins

-133

Athletics

+123

Odds from BetOnline as of 08/22/2022

Pablo Lopez has had an up and down season for Miami. However, he will be facing an Oakland squad that is one of the league’s worst offensive teams. The A’s are dead-last in batting average at .215 and second-worst in on-base slugging percentage at .624.

Oller has pitched only five games at Oakland Coliseum and has a 1-3 record with an ERA of 8.59 during that stretch. He will be facing a Miami Marlins team that will be hungry for a victory after a four-game losing skid.

Oakland hasn’t been good enough on offense to blow out the Marlins like the Dodgers did the last time out. They will run into a good defensive unit in Miami. The Marlins have the better pitcher in this matchup and they will be facing an Oakland team that has struggled this season and has been horrible at home. I think there’s value n going with Miami here.

Prediction: Miami Marlins

Marlins vs Athletics Over/Under Predictions

The total has gone over in five out of the last eight meetings between these two teams. The over is also 2-1 in their last three meetings in Oakland.

Miami Marlins over/under trends:

• Under is 33-15-4 in the Marlins’ last 52 games played overall.

• Under is 8-1 in the Marlins’ last 9 road games.

• Under is 5-0-1 in the Marlins’ last 6 Game 1s of a series.

• Under is 8-1 in the Marlins’ last 9 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

• Under is 13-2-1 in the Marlins’ last 16 games following a loss.

• Under is 12-2-2 in the Marlins’ last 16 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

• Under is 5-1 in the Marlins’ last 6 road games versus a right-handed starter.

• Under is 9-2-2 in the Marlins’ last 13 games against a right-handed starter.

• Under is 4-1-1 in the Marlins’ last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Under is 4-1-2 in the Marlins’ last 7 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

• Under is 4-1 in the Marlins’ last 5 Monday games.

• Under is 4-1 in the Marlins’ last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

• Under is 7-2 in the Marlins’ last 9 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Under is 3-1-1 in the Marlins’ last 5 interleague games versus a team with a losing record.

• Under is 6-2 in the Marlins’ last 8 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Under is 20-7-2 in the Marlins’ last 29 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Oakland Athletics over/under trends:

• Over is 3-1-1 in the Athletics’ last 5 overall.

• Over is 4-0-1 in the Athletics’ last 5 games following a win.

• Over is 5-1 in the Athletics’ last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

• Over is 3-1-1 in the Athletics’ last 5 on grass.

• Over is 5-2 in the Athletics’ last 7 interleague home games.

• Over is 7-3 in the Athletics’ last 10 Game 1s of a series.

• Under is 4-1 in the Athletics’ last five games.

• Under is 21-9 in the Athletics’ last 30 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

• Under is 9-4-2 in the Athletics’ last 15 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

• Under is 5-2 in the Athletics’ last 7 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• Under is 6-2 in the Athletics’ last 8 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• Under is 5-2 in the Athletics’ last 7 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.

• Under is 21-9 in the Athletics’ last 30 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.

• Under is 9-4-2 in the Athletics’ last 15 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

The A’s are allowing 7.67 runs per game in their last three outings and things won’t get better with Adam Oller opening on top of the mound. Oller has pitched worse at home than he has on the road. Oakland is also a pitcher’s park so although the Marlins are having another disappointing offensive season, they should find plenty of trouble against the A’s with Oller on the mound,

These two teams have scored an average of 9.8 runs per game in their last 10 head-to-head meetings and 10.33 runs per game in their most recent three encounters. I like these teams to hit the over against this total.

Prediction: Over 7

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