The Seattle Mariners will take on the Houston Astros at the Minute Maid Park in Game 2 of their current three-game series on Tuesday night.
Houston mauled Seattle 11-2 in Monday’s Game 1 to increase their season series lead to 10-7.
The Mariners are 75-63 on the season and they have the second-best record in the AL West, 5.5 games behind the Astros who are 80-57 on the year. Seattle is three games off the second wild card spot in the AL while the Astros have the second-best record in the American League, 6.5 games behind the Tampa Bay Rays.
Seattle has won six out of its last eight games played and had a five-game winning streak before losing to Houston on Monday. Meanwhile, the Astros are just 3-5 in their last eight games played and snapped a two-game skid with their Game 1 victory.
The Mariners are one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season. Seattle is dead-last in team batting average at .223 but they are 14th overall in home runs with 170. Kyle Seager leads the team with 33 homers and 93 RBI while Mitch Hanger has 30 dingers and 76 RBI on the season.
Seattle will start with rookie Logan Gilbert on Tuesday. Gilbert is 5-5 with an ERA of 5.14. He has two previous starts against Houston this season that went opposite directions. Last August 21st, he was tagged with 9 earned runs in 4 ⅔ innings during a 14-1 loss in Houston. But last Wednesday, he tossed five shutout innings in Seattle during a 1-0 win.
Odds from BetOnline as of 09/07/2021
The Astros are one of the league’s top offensive teams. Houston’s OPS of .774 is currently ranked this in the majors. They have been hitting well at their home field, averaging 5.23 runs per game with an OPS of .777. DH Yordan Alvarez has an OPS of .881 with 28 home runs and 89 RBI this season. Carlos Correa has hit 22 home runs and has 73 RBI for the Astros.
Jake Odorizzi will open on top of the mound for Houston on Tuesday. Odorizzi has appeared 20 times this season and he has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.23. This will be his fifth start against Seattle and he is 2-2 in 20.1 innings pitched and has allowed nine runs on 14 hits with 10 walks and 25 strikeouts.
The Mariners are 5-1 in their last six games played. Seattle is 5-1 in their last six games played on grass, 4-1 in their last five Tuesday games, 6-2 in their last eight Game 2 of a series, 5-2 in their last seven games as betting underdogs, 10-4 in their last 14 games against the American League West, and 6-1 in their last seven road games.
The Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 games as betting favorites. Houston is 10-3 in their last 13 Tuesday games, 38-17 in their last 55 games as home favorites, 29-14 in their last 43 games after a win, 39-19 in their last 58 games against the American League West, 6-2 in their last eight home games against an opponent with a winning record, and 143-69 in their last 212 road games.
Seattle has been competitive against Houston this season and right now they are on a roll. However, there’s no denying that the Astros still have the better team between the two.
Overall, both pitchers have been unpredictable and this could go either way so I won’t blame you if you take the plus money and go with the underdogs.
However, looking closely at Odorizzi, he has a 3.62 ERA in nine games ( eight starts ) pitched at home this season. Meanwhile, Gilbert has a high 5.17 ERA in his eight road starts this year.
The Mariners are for sure heating up but they may not be ready to compete with the best teams in the American League. Give me the Astros here.
Prediction: Houston Astros
Over/ Under Betting
The total has gone over in each of the last four games played by the Mariners. The over is 8-1 when their opponent scores five or more runs in their previous game, 6-1 in their last seven games when allowing more than five runs in their previous game, 5-1 in their last six road games against a right-handed starter, and 4-0 in their last four road games.
The total has gone over in each of the last five Tuesday games played by the Astros. The over is 3-0-1 after allowing two or fewer runs in their previous game, 6-0 in their last six games against opponents with a winning record, 5-1-1 in their last seven games after scoring five or more runs in their previous game, and 6-2-1 in their last nine games after a win.
Head to head, the total has gone over in seven out of their last 10 meetings.
Odds from BetOnline as of 09/07/2021
These teams have hit the over in four out of their last five meetings in Houston and the pitching on both sides hasn’t been that good. Seattle has a starter ERA of 4.21 in their last 10 games played while the Astros have a 4.36 ERA over the same period.
Houston has played to the over in five consecutive games against opponents with a winning record. Seattle has conceded at least eight runs in three out of Gilbert’s last four starts while Odorizzi has seen the over in his last six Game 2 starts.
Both these teams can also score enough points to get the total over 9 runs. And Houston has a loaded lineup.
Prediction: Over 9