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The Los Angeles Rams face the New Orleans Saints in what could be preview of the next NFC title game.
The 8-0 Rams and the 6-1 Saints are two of the hottest teams in the NFL. On Sunday at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, only one will remain hot as the other will taste defeat for the first time in at least the last six weeks.
Perfect But Barely
The Rams remained perfect with a victory over Green Bay last weekend but barely. Los Angeles won its 8th consecutive game of the season but they did so via a narrow 29-27 win over the Packers. That marked the fourth time in the Rams’ last five victories that they have won by a touchdown at the most.
Jared Goff has completed 67.6% of his passes for a total of 2,425 yards with 17 touchdowns and only five interceptions. He has thrown for at least two scores in 12 out of his last 16 games played. Todd Gurley is probably the best running back in the league this season with 800 rushing yards and 11 scores. Meanwhile, Brandin Cooks and Robert Wood have combined for over 1300 receiving yards and five touchdowns.
Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints 11/4/18
Moneyline Odds: Rams +100, Saints -120
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 11/1/18
Tough At Home
The New Orleans Saints have won six games in a row but probably more impressive than that is the fact that they have lost just once in the last 10 games and have gone 10-2 SU in their last 12 games at the Superdome. At 6-1 on the season, they continue their move up the NFC ladder and now have their eyes set on the top seed in the conference.
Drew Brees is having some kind of year as he has thrown 14 touchdowns with only one interception for the season. Brees’ passing yards total is 1,990 yards and he is completing 77.4% of his passes. Alvin Kamara leads the ground game with 408 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns Michael Thomas has 58 catches for 669 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Who Wins?
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games and 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road. On the other hand, New Orleans is also 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played and 10-1 SU in their last 11 games played at home. Head to head, the Rams are 6-2 SU in the last 8 meetings between Los Angeles and New Orleans.
Since Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram began sharing the backfield, the Saints have benefited greatly. These two back have combined to rush for over 2,400 yards and have helped open the window for Drew Brees to operate.
Brees is having the time of his life, converting 77.4% of his passes and getting picked off just once so far this season. What’s more impressive is how Brees is taking care of the leather even if he ranks 18th in total pass attempts among all NFL quarterbacks. With New Orleans playing at this high level, I don’t know how you don’t back them when the game is played at their home field. The Saints are coming off back to back impressive win on the road and will be playing at home for the first time in a month. Just imagine how bananas the crowd will be for this game (as if they haven’t been all season long),
We’re picking the New Orleans Saints to beat the Los Angeles Rams on 11/4/18. But if you insist on picking the Rams, I don’t blame you at all because it’s hard to bet against an unbeaten team.
Other Bets To Make
The LA Rams are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games played while the New Orleans Saints are 5-0 SU in their last five games overall but 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home. Against each other, the Rams are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings,
Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints 11/4/18
Spread Odds: Rams +1.5 (-110), Saints -1.5 (-110)
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 11/1/18
The Rams have won 11 out of their last 12 road games with an average winning margin of 14.5 points per game. But they have failed to cover 8 out of their last 10 games where they were underdogs. On the other hand, the Saints are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites. The Superdome has been a tough building for opponents lately with the Saints going 10-2 SU in their last 12 games there.
The Rams have been winning games alright but four out of their last five wins have come by a winning margin of seven points or less. You could look at this two way. One is that the Rams are a clutch team that manages to pull off close shaves. The other is that they have been flirting with defeat in recent games and could have easily lost two or three of those five had the breaks didn’t go their way. This one’s a coin flip really and when you have one, it’s hard not to back the home team, especially if that team is the New Orleans Saints.
Prediction: Saints -1.5
The total has gone over in eight out of the last 12 games played by the LA Rams. The total has gone under in 4 out of the last 6 games overall of the Saints but the over is 6-2 in the Saints’ last eight games at home and the over is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints 11/4/18
Over/Under Odds: Rams Over 59.5 -110, Under 59.5 -110
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 11/1/18
59.5 points is a lot to cover even for offensive machines like the Rams and Saints. If you look at the stat sheets, the Rams have gone over the 60 point total in only six out of their last 24 games dating back to last season. As for the Saints, the total has over over 60 in only 5 out of their last 23 games played. For this bet, I will go with history and believe that this will turn out to be a methodical game between a likely preview of the NFC championship game.
Prediction: Under 59.5
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