The Detroit Lions take on the Green Bay Packers on October 14, 2019, in a Monday Night Football matchup at Lambeau Field.
The Detroit Lions are 2-1-1 SU on the season and although that record doesn’t look that impressive right off the bat, a close look will prove otherwise. The Lions have solid wins over the Los Angeles Chargers and Philadelphia Eagles. They also nearly brought down the Kansas City Chiefs in their last assignment.
In their last game, the Lions lost 30-34 to the Chiefs after Darrell Williams scored one a one-yard touchdown run with only 23 seconds left in the clock. Matthew Stafford was 21-34 for 291 yards with two touchdowns, connecting to Kenny Golladay and T.J. Hockenson. Kerryon Johnson rushed for 125 yards on 26 carries for the Lions.
Detroit ranks 12th in the NFL in scoring with an average of 24.3 points per game. The Lions are also 7th with an average of 267 passing yards per contest. They are 13th on the ground with an average of 120.5 rushing yards per game. The Lions are allowing their opponents to score 23.8 points per game this season.
Odds were taken from BetOnline.ag as of 10/10/19
The Green Bay Packers are off to a fine start in the Matt LaFleur era. Green Bay has lost just once in five games played so far and that defeat came in a weird Thursday night encounter against the Eagles which ended in a 27-34 score. In their last game, the Packers dropped the favored Dallas Cowboys 34-24.
Aaron Jones had a monster night with 107 rushing yards and 75 receiving yards while rushing for four touchdowns. Aaron Rodgers finished the game on 22-34 passing for 238 yards without a touchdown and an interception. Rodgers’ favorite receiver Davante Adams missed the game with an injury.
The Packers rank 13th in the league in scoring at 23.8 points per game. Green Bay is also 15th in passing yards with 244.2 per contest and the Packers are ranked 23rd with an average of 93 rushing yards per game. Green Bay is allowing its opponents to score 18.6 points per outing.
Detroit is 2-1-1 SU in four games played this season and the Lions are 1-0-1 SU in two road games played so far. Green Bay is 4-1 SU in five games played so far this season. The Packers are 6-3 SU in their last nine games played at home. Head to head, the Lions are 4-1 SU in their last five games played against the Packers. However, Detroit is 3-17 SU in their last 20 games played at Lambeau Field.
Aaron Rodgers missed Davante Adams in their last game against the Cowboys but running back Aaron Jones had a career night with 182 total yards and four touchdowns so that took the pressure off Rodgers. With one extra day of rest, Adams should be ready to play on Monday. Green Bay’s third-down conversion rate is ranked 28th in the league but if you’re worried about that, don’t forget that Detroit is ranked 27th in opponent third-down conversion rate at 45.6%.
Detroit’s offensive line has allowed seven sacks in four games and they will face a Green Bay defense that has recorded 15 sacks in four games played. That defense created eight hits and produced three sacks against Dak Prescott last week so the Lions should be worried. The Packers are the NFL bettin favorites here and I think that with a good running game and a better-than-average defense, the Packers going to take care of business at home against the Lions. Detroit is 7-21 SU in their last 28 night games played. I’m picking the Green Bay Packers to beat the Detroit Lions on 10/14/19. Prediction: Green Bay Packers
Other Bets To Make
The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Detroit is also 4-1 ATS in their last five games played on the road and 2-4 ATS in their last six games played in October. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in five games played this season. Green Bay is 2-1 ATS in three home games played so far. The Packers are 2-4 ATS in their last six games played in October and 1-4 ATS in their last five Week 6 games. Head to head, the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played against the Packers.
Odds from BetOnline.ag as of 10/10/19
Detroit has outscored Green Bay by an average of 6.2 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 21 points per game in their last three encounters. Aaron Jones is coming off a huge game for the Packers if he can sustain his good form, then Detroit is in trouble. We know how good a passed Rodgers can be and if his running game provided balance to the offense, you know Rodgers is going to go off. Add the fact that Davante Adams could return on Monday. Green Bay should win by at least a touchdown. Prediction: Packers -4
The total has gone under in 8 out of the last 11 games played by Detroit. The total has also gone under six out of Detroit’s last eight games against the NFC Conference and the under is also 4-1 in their last five games played against the NFC North Division. The total has gone over in three out of the Packers’ five games played this season and the over is 2-1 in Green Bay’s three home games played this year. The total has gone under in six out of Green Bay’s last nine games against the NFC Conference and the under is 5-0 in their last five games against the NFC North Division.
Odds from BetOnline.ag as of 10/10/19
These teams have combined to score 45.4 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 43.66 points per game in their last three games played against each other. The Lions have gone over the 46.5 total in three of four games played this season while the Packers have done the same in their last two games played. Both teams have allowed an average of 29.0 points per game in their last two games played. These are two teams that have very capable offenses and I think they will engage each other in a shootout on Monday night. Prediction: Over 46.5