Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers 9/8/19 NFL Odds and Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts take on the Los Angeles Chargers on 9/8/19 as week 1 of the NFL’s 2019-20 season begins.

The Colts look to build on the momentum of a strong finish to their 2018-19 season. Indianapolis started 1-5 but finished at 10-6 and ended the season on a four-game winning streak. Quarterback Andrew Luck is healthy and he finished the season with the 5th best QBR in the entire NFL. The Colts’ offense ranked 10th in the league at 21.5 points per game while their defense ranked 11th in the league in total yards allowed. Indianapolis didn’t lose significant personnel during the offseason and were able to add two in the 2019 NFL draft in Wide Receiver Parris Campbell and Defensive End Justin Houston. The addition may have made the Colts even better in 2019.

The Los Angeles Chargers had an excellent 2018 season where they finished with a record of 12-4 but were eliminated early in the playoffs. QB Phillip Rivers ranked 6th in quarterback rating and led the Chargers to 6th in the league in points scored per game. LA suffered several health issues with Melvin Gordon on and off the injured list and Mike Williams not playing enough number of games as well. The Chargers’ defense ranked 7th in points per game allowed and 9th in total yards given up. LA added NT Brandon Mebane and LB Thomas Davis while drafting DT Jerry Tillery and who is going to be useful especially with CB Jason Verneyy gone. Coach Anthony Lyn starts his quest for the AFC title at home against the Colts.

Who Wins?

Indianapolis is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games played. The Colts are 3-2 SU in their last five games played on the road. Los Angeles is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. The Chargers are 2-2 SU in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Chargers are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games against the Colts.

Indianapolis is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against opponents from the AFC conference while the Chargers are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against their AFC conference rivals. LA is 1-5 SU in their last six Week 1 game played. The Colts will be facing a Phillip Rivers who is coming off one of his best seasons. Rivers ranked 8th in QB rating last season and led the Chargers to 26.8 points per game.  The Chargers are the slight NFL betting favorites to win this week 1 showdown.

The Colts finished strong last season and ended up with a record of 10-6 after a 1-5 start. and they too have a prolific offensive game. However, the Colts have the edge in defense here and if Joey Bosa continues to improve and dominate, the LA defense is going to get just enough stops to enable their offense to outscore the Colts. I’m picking the Los Angeles Chargers to beat the Indianapolis Colts on 9/8/19. 

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Other Bets To Make

The Colts are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. Indianapolis is 3-2 ATS in their last five games played at home. The Chargers are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played. Los Angeles is 1-3 ATS in their last three games played at home. Head to head, the Chargers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played. Head to head, the Chargers are 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings against the Colts.

Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in their last five games played against AFC West division opponents. The LA Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games played in September but are 17-2-1 ATS in their last 20 games against AFC South Division teams. I think Joey Bosa and the Chargers defense will hold the Colts’ offense enough for LA to win by at least a touchdown. Prediction: Chargers -3

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The under is 7-3 in the last 10 games played by the Colts. Indianapolis has seen the total go under in four out of their last five games played on the road. The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by the Chargers. The under is 3-1 in Los Angeles’ last four games played at home.

These teams have combined to score 44.9 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 32.0 points per game in their last three head to head encounters. I think these are two prolific offenses who are going to put on a show in Week 1. These teams averaged a combined 52.55 points per game last season and we’re going to see why on September 8th. Prediction: Over 47.5

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