Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

The Indiana Pacers head to Motor City for a showdown with the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday night at the Little Caesars Arena in Detroit.

Sputtering To The Finish Line

When healthy, the Indiana Pacers were the 3rd best team in the Eastern Conference behind the Milwaukee Bucks and Toronto Raptors. But after losing Victor Oladipo to a season-ending knee injury, the Pacers have sputtered to the finish line and are lucky to be still in a battle with the Boston Celtics for the 4th spot in the East so they need to win out their remaining games.

With Oladipo hurt, Bojan Bogdanovic has led the team in scoring with 18.2 points per game while also adding 5.6 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. Domantas Sabonis is also having a fine season with 14.1 points and 9.3 rebounds per game. Darren Collison leads the Pacers with 6.1 assists while also scoring 11.4 points per game. Big men Myles Turner and Thaddeus Young are helping out with 13.3 and 12.5 points per game, respectively.

Indiana has the 9th lowest scoring average in the league at only 108.0 points per game. They are ranked 8th overall in the passing department with 25.9 assists per game and are just 24th in the entire NBA off the glass with 43.1 rebounds per outing. Indiana has the top scoring defense among 30 NBA teams as they allow their opponents to score only 104.3 points per game.

What are the Moneyline Odds?

Pacers

-103

Pistons

-115

Odds from Betonline.ag as of 4/3/19

Playing For Seeding

The Detroit Pistons are currently 6th in the Eastern Conference with their 39-38 record. They are too far behind #5 Indiana but are playing for seeding, trying to protect their position against the #7 Brooklyn Nets and #8 Miami Heat who are just 0.5 and 1 game behind in the team standings. Like the Pacers, the Pistons need to win out their remaining games to ensure their playoff positioning.

Blake Griffin has regained his All-Star form in Detroit. The former Clippers star is averaging 24.7 points, 7.7 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game this season. His frontcourt buddy Andre Drummond is having a double-double season with 17.3 points and a league-high 15.5 rebounds per game. Reggie Jackson is scoring 15.5 points and dishing off 4.2 assists per game while Luke Kennard and Ish Smith are contributing 9.6 and 8.7 points per game, respectively.

Detroit has the 8th worst scoring average in the NBA at only 107.4 points per game scored. The Pistons are also 5th from the last in passing with only 22.6 dimes per contest. They are ranked 19th off the glass with 44.9 rebounds per game but have the 7th top scoring defense in the league at 107.5 points per game allowed.

Who Wins?

The Pacers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played. Indiana is 0-6 SU in their last six games played on the road. The Pistons are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. Detroit is 4-0 SU in their last four home games. Head to head, the Pacers are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games against the Pistons but Detroit is 4-2 SU in their last six home games against Indiana.

Unlike most of the remaining games on schedule, this one has bearing to both the Pacers and Pistons. For Indiana, they have a chance to go up to #4 and get home court advantage in Round 1. For Detroit, they need to keep their 6th spot to avoid a date with Milwaukee or Toronto in the first round of the playoffs.

The Pacers beat the Pistons 111-102 in Indiana just last Monday and the Pistons hope to get one back at their home floor. The home team has won every game of their season series so far and Detroit hopes the trend continues on Wednesday night at the Little Caesars Arena where they are 25-13 SU on the season.

The Pacers are just 17-22 SU away from home and they are just 1-3 SU in their last four games played. The Pistons have won 11 in a row at home and while that streak has gone too long that it may end soon, I don’t think it will be on Wednesday because the Pistons need the win badly. Griffin and Drummond step up big in this game. I’m picking the Detroit Pistons to beat the Indiana Pacers on 4/3/19.

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Other Bets To Make

Indiana is 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Pacers are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games played. Detroit is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played and the Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Pacers are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games against the Pistons but Detroit is 4-2 ATS in their last six home games against Indiana.

What are the Spread Odds?

Pacers

+1 (-109)

Pistons

-1 (-109)

Odds from Betonline.ag as of 4/3/19

The Pacers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against opponents with a winning home record, 1-4 ATS in their last five games after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game, 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS win and 0-6 ATS in their last six Wednesday games. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after a straight up loss, 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against an opponent with a losing road record. Indiana is stumbling to the finish line while the Pistons are closing out strong, especially at home where they have been unbeatable as of late. Detroit also needs this game more than Indiana with their playoff spot not yet clinched. Prediction: Pistons

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The over is 4-1 in the Pacers’ last five games played. Indiana has seen the total go under in four out of their last six road games. The total has gone over in six out of the last 10 games played by the Pistons. The over is also 15-8 in Detroit’s last 23 games against Indiana. Likewise, the total has gone over in eight out of the Pistons’ last 11 home games against the Pacers.

What are the Totals Odds?

Pacers

O 207 (-110)

Pistons

U 207 (-110)

Odds from Betonline.ag as of 4/3/19

We don’t need to show more trends here. The Pacers and Pistons have Bottom 10 scoring averages, Indiana has the best scoring defense in the league while Detroit is 9th in points allowed as well. Against different foes, these teams might have gone over recently but against each other, there is no doubt they will go under because they are like mirrors of each other. Prediction: Under

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