Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints 9/9/19 NFL Betting Odds and Prediction

The Houston Texans take on the New Orleans Saints on Monday, September 9, 2019, at the Mercedes Benz Superdome.

Houston Texans

The Houston Texans finished last season with an 11-5 record to win the AFC South title. Quarterback Deshaun Watson had one of his best seasons ever. The young Watson had a Pro Bowl season where he threw for 26 TDs and only 9 interceptions while finishing with the 13th highest quarterback rating. Houston’s defense was also very good, allowing the third-fewest points per game at 19.8. That defense should be improved this year with the addition of FS Tashaun Gipson and CB Bradley Robey. If everyone stays healthy, this team might just win back to back AFC South titles.

New Orleans Saints

While the other teams were busy tinkering with their respective rosters, the New Orleans Saints virtually have the same team they had last season. But there was really no reason to make big changes in New Orleans, especially after the team reached the NFC Championship game last season. Sure, tailback Mark Ingram and center Max Unger are no longer there. However, the Saints brought in Latavius Murray to replace Ingram and Nick Ingram to potentially replace Unger. Tight end Jared Cook gives Drew Brees another weapon and he is a bargain at $15M for two years after a Pro Bowl 2018 season. Of course, Drew Brees will be the key to this team’s success as he is coming off a fantastic season where he led the offense to third in the league in scoring. New Orleans opens its season as the NFL betting favorites to beat the Texans at home.

Who Wins?

The Texans are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played and Houston is 3-1 SU in their last four games played on the road. The Saints are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played and New Orleans is 4-2 SU in their last six games played at home. Head to head, the Texans are 2-1 SU in their last three games played against the Saints.

Houston has won eleven out of their last 14 games overall but are just 1-4 SU in their last five games played in the month of September. On the other hand, the Saints have lost just thrice in their last 18 home games and are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against teams from the AFC conference.

The New Orleans Saints have one of the best offenses in the league. They ranked third in points per game at 31.5 and were 8th in total offensive yards I just don’t think that the Texans will be able to match the offensive production of Drew Brees nor do I think they have the defense to stop the Saints from scoring. I’m picking the New Orleans Saints to beat the Houston Texans on 9/9/19.

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Other Bets To Make

The Texans are 5-3-2 ATS in their last 10 games played. Houston is 1-1-2 ATS in their last four games played on the road. The Saints are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games played. New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in their last six games played at home. Head to head, the Texans are 2-1 ATS in their last three meetings against the Saints.

Houston is 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against the NFC conference. Meanwhile, the Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the AFC South Division but are 0-5 ATS in their last five Week 1 game played. The Saints have been outscored by an average of 8 points per game in their last three games against the Texans. In reality, though, Drew Brees and the Saints have too much firepower for this Houston team. Prediction: Saints -7

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The total has gone under in 10 out of the last 17 games played by the Texans. The over is 3-1 in Houston’s last four games played on the road. The total has gone under in 11 out of the 18 games played by the Saints last season. New Orleans has seen the total go under in four out of the last six games played by the Saints at home. Head to head, the under is 2-1 in the last three games played between the Texans and Saints.

The total has gone under in five out of the last six games played by the Texans against opponents from the NFC South Division. The under is also 4-1 in Houston’s last five Week 1 game played. However, the over is 6-2 in the Saints’ last eight September games played and also 4-1 in New Orleans’ last five Monday games played. These teams have combined for a total of 45.34 points in their last four games played. I don’t think the Texans can match the offensive output of the Saints and these teams have good defenses so I’m looking at the under for this game. Prediction: Under 53.5

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