Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat 12/10/19 NBA Betting Odds and Prediction

The Atlanta Hawks test the Miami Heat in a Southeast Division matchup on Tuesday night at the American Airlines Arena.

The Hawks are winners of two out of their last three games played after losing 10 consecutive assignments. Atlanta is at the bottom of the Southeast Division standings with their 6-17 record and they are a far 11 games behind the division leaders Miami Heat. The Heat have a 17-6 record which mirrors Atlanta’s standing. Miami has won five out of its last six games to keep a 5.5 games lead over the Orlando Magic in the divisional race. The Heat is a perfect 10-0 at home to start the season while the Hawks are just 3-9 SU on the road this year.

Hawks Win Two of Three

Just last week, the Atlanta Hawks looked like they were stuck in losing mode. The Hawks had lost 10 in a row and then they ended that streak with a 25-point rout of the Golden State Warriors in a battle between the worst teams in the NBA this season. Well, the Hawks beat the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday night to win two out of their last three games played.

Trae Young scored 30 points against the Hornets. It was Young’s 10th 30-point game of the season but only the second time in those games that the Hawks have won. He is averaging 28.8 points and 8.4 assists per game this season. Jabari Parker is helping Young with 16.2 points and 6.3 rebounds per game while rookie DeAndre Hunter is putting up 12.1 points and 4.0 rebounds per game.

Atlanta ranks 20th in the NBA in scoring at 108.7 points per game and they have the third-worst scoring defense in the league at 117.3 points per game allowed. The Hawks are tied for 27th in rebounding at 42.0 boards grabbed per contest and they are also 19th in assists at 23.5 dimes per outing.

Heat Continue to Impress

The Miami Heat continue to impress this season as they have won five out of their last six games and they are 17-6 SU on the season, first in the Southeast Division. The Heat are still undefeated at their home court as they are 10-0 SU at the American Airlines Arena this season. In their last game, the Heat edged the Chicago Bulls 110-105 in overtime.

Jimmy Butler leads Miami with 20.6 points while also putting up 6.3 rebounds, 6.8 assists and 2.2 steals per game. Bam Adebayo is averaging a double-double with 14.6 points and 10.5 rebounds per game while Goran Dragic, Kendrick Nunn, Justise Winslow, Tyler Herro, and Duncan Robinson are also scoring in double figures for the Heat.

Miami is14th in the NBA in scoring at 111.0 points per game this season. The Heat are 7th in the league in defense at 105.5 points per game allowed. They are ranked 16th in rebounding at 45.0 boards grabbed per contest and are 10th in passing at 24.9 assists per game.

Who Wins?

Atlanta is 2-11 SU in their last 13 games played. The Hawks are 1-7 SU in their last eight games played. Miami is 5-1 SU in their last six games played. The Heat are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games played at home. Head to head, the Heat are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games played against the Hawks. Miami is also 5-1 SU in their last six home games against Atlanta.

The Hawks must be feeling good about themselves right now. That’s because after losing 10 straight games, they have won two out of their last three games played. Trae Young is coming off a 30-point night and his most complete game of the season. Jabari Parker is also playing well for the Hawks and DeAndre Hunter is back after missing one game of action.

Miami continues to win behind Jimmy Butler and a balanced scoring attack. The Heat have seven players averaging in double-digit scoring and this is a team that can go to many weapons to deliver the goods. In their last game, it was rookie Tyler Herro who came up big and hit the game-winning basket in overtime. Goran Dragic and Justise Winslow are out of action but the Heat still have too many scorers.

Atlanta’s lack of defense could play a big part here with Miami having tons of scorers in their team. Meanwhile, the Heat are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA this season and that could be a problem for Trae Young. Although I think Young gets his points here, he won’t be able to create plenty of opportunities for his teammates.

Prediction: Miami Heat

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Other Bets to Make

The Hawks are 4-2 ATS in their last six games played. Atlanta is 5-7 ATS in 12 road games played this season, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five games played. Miami is 7-2-1 ATS in 10 home games played this season, and 1-4 ATS in their last five games played against the Eastern Conference. Head to head, the Hawks are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Heat.

The Heat have outscored the Hawks by an average of 3.1 points per game in their last 10 meetings and by 8.33 points per game in their most recent three encounters. The Heat are 2-0 SU against the Hawks this season and they have covered the spread in both games. Look for Miami to do the same here as they are not just the better team here but they are also unbeaten at home right now.

Prediction: Heat -8.5

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The total has gone over in 13 out of the last 16 games played by the Hawks. Atlanta has seen the total go over in eight out of 12 road games played this season. The over is 5-4-1 in the last 10 games played by the Heat. The over is 6-4 in Miami’s 10 home games played this season, and 6-3 in their last nine December games. Head to head, the under is 6-4 in the last 10 games between these two teams.

The Hawks are one of the worst defensive teams in the league this season and they allowed 158 points against the Rockets last November 30 and 130 points against the Brooklyn Nets two games later. Offensively, the Hawks have Trae Young, the third-best scorer in the league this season and he is averaging 35.8 points per game in the last five games. Meanwhile, the Heat rank 11th in the league in three-pointers made per game and 4th overall in three-point accuracy. Against a team like the Hawks who don’t play defense at all, I think this is going to be a very high scoring game.

Prediction: Over 218

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