The defending back-to-back NBA champions Golden State Warriors hit the road to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
The Warriors have been the most dominant team in the league in the previous four seasons but with eight regular season left to play, the Warriors are still neck to neck with the Denver Nuggets for the top spot in the Western Conference. Before Thursday’s games, the 51-23 Dubs held a half-game lead over the 50-23 Nuggets. With Denver breathing heavily behind their necks, every game is a must-win for the champs.
Odds from Bovada as of 3/29/19
The Wolves have been eliminated from the playoffs but this young team would love to play spoilers the rest of the way. Minnesota made the playoffs last year for the first time since the Kevin Garnett era but their success was short-lived as they will now be back in the Draft Lottery. Minnesota’s 2018-19 is a tale of two season. The Wolves are a very good 23-12 SU at home but they are a woeful 10-29 SU away from the Target Center. If there’s anything positive in this matchup, it’s that this one’s played in Minnesota.
Golden State is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played and the Warriors are 4-1 SU in their last five road games played. Minnesota is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played and the Timberwolves are 2-2 SU in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Warriors are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against the Timberwolves.
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) March 28, 2019
The Warriors lead the season series 3-0 and are looking to sweep the Timberwolves for the first time since the 2014-15 season. These teams played just last March 19th also at the Target Center and the champs walked away with a 117-107 victory behind a combined 64 points from the Splash Brothers.
Golden State is 25-12 SU on the road this season and the Timberwolves are a solid 23-12 SU at home too. However, the Wolves are just 20-27 SU against the West this season and have lost back to back games at home by double digit margins. Golden State has won five out of their last six on the road. I’m picking the Golden State Warriors to beat the Minnesota Timberwolves on 3/29/19.
Other Bets To Make
The Dubs are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games played and Golden State is 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road. The Wolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played and Minnesota is 1-3 ATS in their last four games played at their home court. Head to head, the Warriors are 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with the Wolves.
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 3/29/19
The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing at least 100 points in their previous game, 4-1 ATS in their last four road games against an opponent with a winning home record and 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. The Wolves are 1-10 ATS when their opponent scores 100 or more points in their previous game and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. Not only is Minnesota struggling against the spread, they are short-handed in this game due to injuries. Prediction: Warriors -9
The total has gone under in eight out of the last 10 games played by the Warriors. Golden State has seen the total go under in four out of their last five games on the road. The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by the Timberwolves. The under is also 9-1 in the last 10 games between these two teams when playing in Minnesota.
O 230.5 -110
U 230.5 -110
Odds from Betonline.ag as of 3/29/19
The under is 8-1 in the Warriors’ last nine games against their Western Conference rivals and in 6-1 in their last seven games. The under is 5-0 in Minnesota’s last five games after an SU loss. Minnesota is without Derrick Rose, Jeff Teague, Taj Gibson and Robert Covington. That’s a lot of points if you add their scoring averages.Prediction: Under 230.5