It will be an AFC South matchup when the Atlanta Falcons travel to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints on November 10, 2019.
The Atlanta Falcons are reeling and have lost five straight games heading to their divisional game against the Saints. Atlanta is 1-7 SU on the season and they are at the bottom of the AFC team standings right now. The Falcons are coming off a bye week and may return quarterback Matt Ryan in this contest but this already looks like a lost season for them.
Ryan currently ranks second in the NFL in passing yards and is third in touchdowns. He has a total of 2,170 passing yards with 15 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Devonta Freeman leads Atlanta with 333 rushing yards on 97 carries while wideout Julio Jones has caught 50 passes for 712 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Atlanta is the #1 passing team in the league at 316.8 passing yards per game. The Falcons are 29th in rushing at 68.5 yards on the ground per outing. They are ranked 20th in scoring at 20.6 points per game and they have allowed their opponents to score 31.3 points per game this season.
Odds were taken from BetOnline as of 11/06/19
Saints Are Winning
While the Falcons are reeling, the New Orleans Saints are winning. New Orleans won five straight games with starting quarterback Drew Brees on the injury reserve list. Brees returned to action in Week 8 and the Saints looked even better. With Alvin Kamara expected to return in this game and the Saints coming off a bye week, New Orleans is a heavy NFL betting favorite here.
Brees has thrown for 781 yards with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions for the season but went for 373 with 3 touchdowns and just one pick in their week 8 assignment. Latavius Murray has rushed for 307 yards with four touchdowns while filling in for Alvin Kamara for the Saints who have picked up six straight wins heading to this encounter.
New Orleans is ranked 19th in passing yards at 261.0 per game. They are 15th on the ground with an average of 114.3 rushing yards per game. The Saints are scoring 24.1 points per game this season while allowing their opponents only 19.5 points per outing.
Atlanta is 0-6 SU in their last six games played. The Falcons are 0-4 SU in their last four games on the road. New Orleans is 6-0 SU in their last six games played. The Saints are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games played at home. Head to head, the Saints are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against the Falcons. New Orleans is also 10-3 SU in their last 13 home games against Atlanta.
The Falcons are among the bottom teams in scoring defense and turnover differential. They are also in the last place in the NFC and it has been a terrible season for Atlanta. They are expected to get Matt Ryan back for this one but at 1-7 SU on the year, it may be too late to turn things around. New Orleans has allowed less than 200 passing yards in three out of their last four games played so even if Ryan returns, it’s not going to be an easy task.
The Saints played without Drew Brees for five games and won all those games. He returned from injury in Week 8 and looked like he didn’t miss a beat in a victory over the Arizona Cardinals. New Orleans also played without Alvin Kamara in their last two games and he is expected to return on Sunday.
New Orleans is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against their division rivals. The Saints’ offense is humming and they have one of the best defenses in the league right now. New Orleans is also coming off a bye week so they should be ready to take care of business on their home field. I’m picking the New Orleans Saints to beat the Atlanta Falcons.
Other Bets to Make
The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games played. Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in their last five games played on the road. The Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last six games played. New Orleans is also 3-1 ATS in four home games played this season, and 5-0 ATS in their last five games played against the NFC Conference. Head to head, the Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played against the Falcons.
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/06/19
The Saints have outscored the Falcons by an average of 11 points per game in their last three games played. The Falcons are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against the Saints. New Orleans is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after back to back ATS wins. Drew Brees can do what he wants with Atlanta’s bad defense. Alvin Kamara will return for the Saints and I’m picking them to win by at least two touchdowns in this game.
Prediction: Saints -13
The total has gone under in five out of the last eight games played by the Falcons. The over is 3-1 in Atlanta’s four road games played this year and the over is also 4-2 in their last six games against the NFC South Division. The under is 6-4 in the last 10 games played by the Saints. The under is 4-2 in the last six November games played by New Orleans. Head to head, the under is 5-4-1 in the last 10 games between these two teams.
Odds from BetOnline as of 11/06/19
These teams have combined to score 55.2 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 55.66 points per game in their last three games played. New Orleans has scored at least 31 points per game in four out of their last six games played but their defense is going to limit an Atlanta team that is already averaging just 21.0 points per game in their last five outings. I think that the Saints are good for at least 35 points here but I’m not sure if their defense will allow the Falcons to help the team cover the total.
Prediction: Under 51.5