The Atlanta Falcons head to North Carolina for a showdown with the Panthers on Sunday, at the Bank of America Stadium.
The Falcons saw Matt Ryan return in week 10 and they picked up their first win since week 2 of the season as Atlanta stunned New Orleans 26-9 on the road. Meanwhile, the Panthers lost a close 16-24 game to the Green Bay Packers last week to fall to 5-4 on the season. Carolina needs to take care of business at home if they want to stay alive in the playoff hunt.
The Atlanta Falcons played the spoiler’s role and pulled off a huge 26-9 upset against Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints last week to end a six-game losing skid. The Dirty Birds are currently in 4th place in the NFC South and at 2-7 SU, they are already out of playoff contention.
Matt Ryan returned to action and threw for 182 yards with two touchdowns. Ryan has thrown for 2,352 yards with 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on the season. Julio Jones has caught for 791 yards with four touchdowns while Davonta Freeman has 107 carries for 371 yards this season. Freeman is doubtful after suffering an ankle injury while his back up Ito Smith was placed on the injury reserve.
The Falcons rank 2nd in the league in passing at 300.9 yards per game this season and they are 29th in rushing at 26.8 ground yards per contest. Atlanta is scoring an average of 21.4 points per game this season while allowing its opponents to score 28.8 points per game on the year.
Odds were taken from TitanBet as of 11/13/19
The Green Bay Packers are having a terrific start under first-year head coach Matt LaFleur. The Carolina Panthers dropped to 5-4 SU on the season after losing a close 16-24 contest to the Green Bay Packers last week. Carolina lost quarterback Cam Newton to injury but Kyle Allen has been 5-2 as their starter. The Panthers are 2nd in the NFC South and are two games out of a wild card spot in the NFC.
Allen threw for 307 yards with one touchdown and one interception last week. He has thrown for a total of 1,598 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Early MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey has rushed for 989 yards with 11 rushing touchdowns. McCaffrey also has caught three touchdown passes this season.
The Panthers are ranked 23rd in passing at 215.1 yards per game and they are the 7th best rushing team in the league at 131.4 rushing yards per contest. Carolina is tied for 11th in team scoring at 25.0 points per game this season and they are allowing their opponents to score 25.3 points on the year.
The Falcons are 1-6 SU in their last seven games played. Atlanta is 1-5 SU in their last six games on the road and 4-1 SU in their last five games played against the NFC South Division. The Panthers are 5-2 SU in their last seven games played. Carolina is 2-2 SU in four home games this season, 3-9 SU in their last nine games against the NFC Conference, and 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against the NFC South Division. Head to head, the Falcons are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Panthers. Carolina is the NFL betting favorites to beat the Falcons here.
The Falcons showed last week that they are still fighting hard despite their current predicament. The bye week helped Atlanta and they pulled off a 26-9 upset against the Saints. Matt Ryan returned from injury to throw for two touchdowns and their defense held New Orleans without a touchdown at their home field.
The Panthers are coming off a loss but remember that they were a few inches away from potentially tying the score. Christian McCaffrey was stopped at the goal line with no time left on the clock and the Packers preserved a 24-16 win. Kyle Allen committed two turnovers but he showed poise in that final possession and is 5-2 SU as their starter.
Atlanta is coming off its best game of the season but at 2-7, it’s hard for me to believe they are going to play well in consecutive weeks. Sure, there is no pressure on them and they are out to play the spoiler’s role again. Carolina has more to lose here but I think Kyle Allen is legit and the Panthers will bounce back with a win at home.
Prediction: Carolina Panthers
Other Bets to Make
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games played and the Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games played on the road. Carolina is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played and 2-2 ATS in four home games played this season. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last five November games and 5-2 ATS in their last Sunday games. Head to head, the Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Carolina.
Odds from TitanBet as of 11/13/19
The Falcons have outscored the Panthers by an average of 11 points per game in their last three meetings. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against opponents with a losing record while the Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against Carolina. This head to head match-up has been dominated by Atlanta but the team has struggled to pick up wins this year. Give me the Panthers to win but the Falcons will fight to the end and cover the spread.
Prediction: Falcons -5.5
The total has gone under in six out of the last nine games played by the Falcons. The under is also 5-1 in Atlanta’s last six games against the NFC Conference. The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played by Carolina. The Panthers have seen the total go over in 8 out of their last 11 games played at home. Head to head, the total has gone under in nine out of the last 12 meetings between these two teams. The under is also 5-1 in Carolina’s last six home games against Atlanta.
Odds from TitanBet as of 11/13/19
These teams have combined to score an average of 43.2 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 40.33 points per game in their last three head to head encounters. The Falcons are in the bottom half in the league in rush defense so I expect Carolina to run the football here. Atlanta’s defense showed up against New Orleans and if the Dirty Birds continue that type of defense, this one should be a low-scoring affair.
Prediction: Under 49.5