The Miami Dolphins look for their first win of the season when they travel to the New Era Field to take on the Buffalo Bills on October 20, 2019.
Dolphins Remain Winless
The Miami Dolphins and the Cincinnati Bengals are the only winless teams in the NFL this season. The Bengals are worse at 0-6 but the Dolphins’ point differential of -138 is 61 points worse than the next team on the list. Miami is averaging a paltry 8.0 points per game this season, worst in the league. In their last game, the Dolphins lost 16-17 to the Washington Redskins in a game between winless teams.
Miami’s two-point conversion with six seconds left in the game ended in failure after running back Kenyan Drake failed to handle Ryan Fitzpatrick’s quick throw in the flat. Fitzpatrick replaced Josh Rosen in the fourth period and led the Dolphins back from a 3-17 deficit. He finished with 132 yards on 12-18 passing with one touchdown.
The Dolphins are second to the last in passing yards at 176.0 per game. Miami is also 31st in the NFL at 58.2 yards per contest. The Dolphins are the worst scoring team in the league at 8.4 points per game. They are allowing their opponents to score 36.0 points per game this season.
Odds were taken from TitanBet as of 10/15/19
The Buffalo Bills are 4-1 to start the 2019 NFL season and they have won three straight road games for the first time since 2004. In their last game played, the Bills defeated the Tennessee Titans 14-7 in a defensive battle last Sunday. In week 7, the Bills face the winless Miami Dolphins and they are heavy NFL betting favorites to win.
Josh Allen showed up by throwing 219 yards with two touchdowns and only one interception. Allen’s good game complemented the Buffalo defense which has been the team’s main weapon this season. That defense allowed Tennessee just 252 total yards and sacked Marcus Mariota five times.
The Bills rank 19th in the NFL in passing at 232.8 yards per game. They make up for that by being the 6th best rushing team in the league at 139.6 rushing yards per game. Buffalo is 25th in team scoring at 18.0 points per game and they are giving up an average of 14.0 points per game this season.
Miami is 0-8 SU in their last eight games played. The Dolphins are also 0-8 SU in their last eight road games played. Buffalo is 5-1 SU in their last six games played. The Bills are 4-2 SU in their last six games played at home and 5-1 SU in their last six games played on a Sunday. Head to head, the Bills are 6-4 SU in their last 10 games played.
The Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals are the only winless teams in the NFL right now. But when you take a look at the point differential, the Dolphins are twice as bad as the Cardinals at -138. Miami has scored just 42 points this season, the fewest of any team and they have allowed 180 points on the year, second most in the league. Buffalo is having a good start to their season and at 4-1 SU, they trail only the New England Patriots in the AFC East.
The Buffalo rushing game has mitigated the shortcomings of Josh Allen’s passing game. But it has been their defense which has been their calling card this season. They are ranked 4th in pass defense and 7th in rush defense this season. Miami’s offensive struggles won’t help in this game. I’m picking the Buffalo Bills to beat the Miami Dolphins on 10/20/19.
Prediction: Buffalo Bills
Other Bets to Make
The Dolphins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games played and 0-5 ATS in their last five games against the AFC Conference. The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played and 1-1 ATS in two home games played this season. Head to head, the Bills are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings and Buffalo is also 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against Miami.
Odds from TitanBet as of 10/15/19
The Bills have outscored the Dolphins by an average of 8.2 points per game in their last 10 meetings and nine points per game in their last three games played. The Bills have not won a game by more than 14 points this season but they are playing the Dolphins who have lost by at least 25 points in all but one of their games this season. Buffalo also has the 4th best scoring defense in the NFL so the Dolphins could be in trouble here.
Prediction: Bills -16.5
The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by the Dolphins. The under is 6-2 in Miami’s last eight games played against the AFC East Division. The total has gone under in each of the last five games played by the Bills. The under is 5-1 in Buffalo’s last six games against the AFC conference and 6-3 in their last nine games against the AFC East Division. Head to head, the over is 6-4 in the last 10 games between these two teams but under in two out of their last three games played.
Odds from TitanBet as of 10/15/19
These teams have combined to score 46.8 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 45.0 points per game in their last three games. Miami is the lowest scoring team in the league at only 8.4 points per game this season. They have not scored more than 16 points in a game this season. Buffalo is 25th in the league in scoring at 18.0 points per game. They have scored over 20 points only twice this season. When you have two Bottom-10 offenses facing each other, you’re going to get a low scoring game.
Prediction: Under 39