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The Dallas Mavericks take on the San Antonio Spurs in a Wednesday matchup at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas.
Dirk’s Last Game
The Mavericks close out their season in San Antonio and although they will miss the playoffs this year, things are looking good next season with the return of Kristaps Porzingis. However, this game could mark the end of an era in Dallas with Dirk Nowitzki most probably playing his last game in the NBA. The man who revolutionized the power forward position and led the Mavs to their first and only NBA title in 2011 is expected to retire at the end of the season.
Rookie of the Year favorite Luka Doncic has stuffed the stats sheet for the Mavs this season. The European sensation is averaging 21.2 points, 7.7 rebounds, 5.9 assists and 1.0 steals per game this season. Tim Hardaway Jr. is playing well for his new team with 15.5 points per game while Dwight Powell has been contributing 10.6 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. Jalen Brunson and Justin Jackson have combined to score 17.2 points per game for Dallas.
Dallas is 21st in team scoring at 108.9 points per game. They are ranked 22nd in assists with an average of 23.3 game. The Mavericks are also 16th in rebounding at 45.1 boards hauled per contest and they are #13 in scoring defense at 110.2 opponent points per game allowed.
Mavericks
+775
Spurs
-1250
Odds from betonline.ag as of 4/10/19
Playoff Bound Again
While Dallas is missing the playoff bus, the San Antonio Spurs are going to the postseason yet again. This is the 22nd consecutive season that San Antonio has made it past the regular season and only the Syracuse Nationals have done it before from 1950 to 1971. The last time San Antonio missed the playoffs was in 1996-97 when current Spurs player Derrick White was barely two years old.
DeMar DeRozan is having a fantastic first season in San Antonio, averaging 21.3 points, 6.0 rebounds, 6.2 assists and 1.1 steals per game. LaMarcus Aldridge is scoring 21.2 points and grabbing 9.1 rebounds per game while veteran Rudy Gay is chipping in 13.8 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. Marco Belinelli and Patty Mills have combined to score a total of 20.6 points per game this season.
The Spurs rank 17th overall in team scoring at 111.7 points per game this season. They are also 16th in passing with 24.6 assists per game this season. San Antonio is 21st off the glass with an average of 44.6 rebounds per game and they are 12th in scoring defense at 110.2 opponent points per game allowed.
Who Wins?
The Mavericks are 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played. Dallas is 3-3 SU in their last six games on the road. The Spurs are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played and San Antonio is 2-2 SU in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Spurs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 meetings against the Mavericks.
This is going to be a special game for the Dallas Mavericks because this is likely the final game of Dir Nowitzki’s NBA career. Dirk is no longer the dominant player he used to be but expect his teammates to put on a good show for him in what could very well be their final game together.
The Spurs are still battling for playoff position and they are currently at #7, tied with the Los Angeles Clippers at 47-34 with one game left to play. San Antonio wants to avoid Golden State in round one because they know first hand how hard it is to upset the champs in round one. That said, San Antonio is still going all out here.
San Antonio is healthy right now while Dallas is listing Doncic as day to day. The Mavericks are 9-31 SU on the road this season while the Spurs are 31-9 SU at home this season. San Antonio has the motive and the manpower to pick up this victory. I’m picking the San Antonio Spurs to beat the Dallas Mavericks on 4/10/19.
Other Bets To Make
Dallas is 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Mavericks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games played on the road. San Antonio is 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games played at home. Head to head, the Mavericks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Spurs.
Mavericks
+14 (-109)
Spurs
-14 (-109)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 4/10/19
The Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against the Southwest Division, 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games and 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in San Antonio. On the other hand, the Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games when playing on two days rest, 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. The trends point to Dallas but San Antonio needs this game more than they do. Prediction: Spurs
The total has gone over in three out of the last four games played by Dallas. The under is 4-2 in the Mavericks’ last six road games. The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by the Spurs. San Antonio has seen the total go under in 16 out of their 25 games against Western Conference teams this season. Head to head, the under is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.
Mavericks
O 218 (-110)
Spurs
U 218 (-110)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 4/10/19
These teams are in the bottom half of the league in team scoring with San Antonio at #17 and Dallas at #21. They are also in the Top 15 in defense with the Spurs coming in at #12 and the Mavericks next at #13. Doncic is also listed as day to day and will be a huge factor for the Dallas offense. I don’t think both teams score enough points to go over. Prediction: Under
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