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The Cleveland Browns hit the road and take on the New York Jets at the MetLife Stadium on Monday, September 16, 2019.
All the Super Bowl hype went crashing down as the Cleveland Browns were humbled by the Tennessee Titans in Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season. The Browns scored just six points at halftime and allowed a total of 31 points in the third and fourth quarter of that game. Cleveland also committed a total of 18 penalties totalling 182 yards and that really doomed this much publicized team.
Baker Mayfield threw for 285 yards but he only had one touchdown and three interceptions. Odell Beckham’s highly anticipated debut netted 71 yards on seven catches. Nick Chubb led the ground attack with 75 rushing yards. But it was the Cleveland offensive line that failed to protect Mayfield, causing him to get sacked five times.
The New York Jets are also coming off an opening week loss but theirs was different. The Jets blew a big lead and lost 16-17 to the Buffalo Bills after giving up 14 unanswered points in the final quarter. Quarterback Sam Darnold only had 175 passing yards with one touchdown and he had plenty of passes that were knocked down throughout the game.
Le’Veon Bell was impressive in his debut with 92 yards on 23 touches with one touchdown. But it was the 28th ranked offensive line which allowed the Bills’ tough defense to sack Darnold a total of four times in the game. Rookie defensive lineman Quinnen Williams wore a walking boot after the game and C.J. Mosley left the game in the third period with a groin injury.
Who Wins?
The Browns are 2-18 SU in their last 20 games on the road but they are still the NFL betting favorites here. The Jets are 1-10 SU in their last 10 games played and New York is 0-6 SU in their last six games played at home. Head to head, Cleveland is 1-5 SU in their last six games against New York but the Browns are 4-2 SU in their last six road against the Jets.
The Browns aren’t really as bad as how they played on opening week. It was just that they had too much hype and too much pressure and they could not deliver right away. Also, penalties doomed the Browns in their opening match and I don’t expect them to commit the same errors or at least as many errors this time around. Baker Mayfield and Sam Darnold are both studs. I think this goes down to which line can give its quarterback the time to throw. I think the Browns can do that better. Prediction: Cleveland Browns
Other Bets To Make
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams from the AFC East Division. New York is 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games played and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games against an opponent from the AFC Conference. The Jets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams from the AFC North. Head to head, the Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Jets.
The Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after a loss, 5-12 ATS against a team with a losing record and 2-6 ATS in their last eight Monday games. The Jets are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 0-4 ATS in their last four September games played. The Jets have outscored the Browns by an average of 2.1 points per game in their last 10 games and by only 0.67 points per game in their last three games played. I still believe in the Browns and in Baker Mayfield. I think he bounces back big with a win here and it’s going to be decisive. Or at least by a field goal. Prediction: Browns -2.5
The total has gone over in six out of the last nine games of the Browns against AFC teams and over in 12 out of their last 17 September games played. The total has gone over in four out of the last six games played by the Jets but the under is 6-3 in the last nine head to head meetings between these two teams. The under is also 6-3 in the Jets’ last nine games in September.
These teams combined for 38 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 42.67 points per game in their last three encounters. The total has gone over 45 in only two out of the last six meetings between these two teams. Take the under here. Cleveland has a very good defense and I don’t think they will have 182 yards of penalty this time around. Nine out of the Browns’ last 11 night games have gone under. Prediction: Under
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