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The Clemson Tigers take their unbeaten record to the Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday, 10/27/18, where they will face the Florida State Seminoles in a Week 9 matchup.
The Tigers are coming off a blowout of N.C. State while the Seminoles are fresh off a victory over Wake Forest. These two teams first played each other in 1970 and the Seminoles hold a 20-11 lead in their all-time series. Clemson has won the last three meetings between these teams and they are looking to win four in a row over the Seminoles for the first time ever.
Cursed At #2?
The Tigers have looked great since Trevor Lawrence has taken over the top quarterbacking duties. Heading to Week 9, Lawrence ranks 10th in the nation in quarterback rating at 165 and 15th in completion rate at 68.3%. With the Seminoles ranked only 113th in pass defense, expect Lawrence to have a big night here.
However, because the Tigers play at Florida State once in two years only, the trends may not apply to this match up at all because these are entirely different teams from the last ones that played in Florida State. Having said that, Clemson has been the better team this season- no question about that, as they are still unbeaten after seven games played.
Clemson vs Florida State 10/27/18
Moneyline Odds: Clemson -750, Florida State +575
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/24/18
The Florida State Seminoles beat the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38-17 this past week after suffering a 27-28 loss at Miami (FL) in a game which they should have won. With the win, Florida State is now 3-1 since starting the season at 1-2.
Deondre Francois has thrown for a total of 1,859 yards with 6 scores. Three of those touchdown passes were received by Nyqwan Murray who has a total of 460 receiving yards this season. On the ground, its Cam Akers who leads the way with 460 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns.
Who Wins?
Clemson is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games and also 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Florida State is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games and 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played at home. The Seminoles are 9-2 SU in their last 11 home games against the Tigers but the Tigers are 3-0 SU in the last three meetings overall between these teams.
Florida State is Clemson’s final test of the season as they have a relatively easier schedule ahead. They are well aware of this and they know how important the game is. Florida State won’t go down without a fight but I think the Clemson offense is too diverse to lose this game.
We’re picking the Clemson Tigers to beat the Florida State Seminoles on 10/27/18. But since the Tigers are pegged at +750, let’s take a look at the other bets for this game.
Other Bets To Make
Clemson is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games while Florida State is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games at home. Head to head, Clemson is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against Florida State and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against the Seminoles on the road.
Clemson vs Florida State 10/27/18
Spread Odds: Clemson -16.5 (-110), Florida State +16.5 (-110)
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/24/18
It’s rare that Florida State is a huge underdog at home. This 16.5 point spread is the largest as home underdogs for Florida State since the Seminoles were a similar +16.5 against Florida in 2006. The last time Florida State was an underdog by more than 3.5 points was two years ago when they closed as a +4 against Clemson.
But Clemson has been terrific this season and that’s why they are the 2nd ranked team in the nation this week.Except for Texas A&M and Syracuse which lost by 2 and 4 points respectively. The Clemson Tigers have blasted through their opposition. The lowest margin of victory in their 5 other games is 31 points. I like the Tigers to cover the spread here.
Prediction: Clemson -16.5
The total has gone over in four out of the last five road games for Clemson and the total has also gone over in 4 out of the last 6 games of Florida State. Against each other, the over is 5-2 in their last seven games and the total is also 6-3 in the last nine games between these two teams when playing in Florida State.
Clemson vs Florida State 10/27/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 51 -110, Under 51 -110
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/24/18
Clemson is currently averaging 42 points per game this season. They’ve topped the 40 point barrier in four out of seven games played. Meanwhile, Florida State has been averaging 32.75 points per game in their last four games. I think 51 is easy when you have a team like Clemson on one end.
Prediction: Over 51
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