Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies 6/6/19 Betting Odds, Pick, and Prediction

The Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies open a three-game set on Friday at the Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.

Right-hander Tyler Mahle will open on top of the hill for the Reds on Friday. The 24-year old Newport Beach, California native has appeared in a total of 13 games this season with 11 starts. Mahle has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 4.26, a WHIP of 1.26 and a BAA of 2.65. The Reds are 3-7 SU in his last 10 pitching appearances.

Mahle has pitched a total of 61.1 innings this season. He has allowed 29 earned runs on 63 hits with 11 home runs with 67 strikeouts and 14 walks on the season. In his last outing, Mahle earned the win after allowing three earned runs on five hits in 5.0 innings of work during the Reds’ 9-3 win over the Nationals

Jose Iglesias leads the Reds in batting average with .299 on the season. Third baseman Eugenio Sanchez has 40 RBIs to lead Cincinnati while Derek Dietrich has 17 home runs to top the Reds. As a team, Cincinnati is hitting the ball at a .235 clip and they have scored a total of 265 runs on the season.

Zach Eflin gets the call to start for the Phillies in Game 1 against the Reds. The 25-year-old right-hander has started in a total of 11 games this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 3.02, a WHIP of 1.19 and a BAA of .253. The Phillies are 5-5 SU in his last 10 starts of the season.

Eflin has pitched in a total of 65.2 innings this season and has allowed 24 runs ( 22 earned ) on 64 hits with 10 home runs. He has struck out a total of 51 and walked a total of 14 batters this season. In his last outing, Eflin gave up three earned runs on six hits and two home runs in just 3.2 innings of pitch work. He got the loss as the Phillies dropped a 1-9 contest to the Brewers last May 26th.

Shortstop Jean Segura’s .292 batting average leads Philadelphia this season. Bryce Harper has a total of 44 RBIs to lead the Phillies while Rhys Hoskins has a team-best 13 home runs on the season. Philadelphia has scored a total of 305 runs on the season and is batting at a .245 average this year.

Who Wins?

Cincinnati is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. The Reds are 2-1 SU in their last three games played at home. Philadelphia is 4-6 SU in their last 10 games played. The Phillies are 2-1 SU in their last three games played at home. Head to head, the Phillies are 4-3 SU in their last seven meetings. Philadelphia is also 4-1 in their last five home games against the Reds.

Cincinnati is 3-3 SU and 2-2 SU as baseball betting favorites and underdogs, respectively. On the other hand, Philly is 3-2 SU in their last five games as favorites and 1-4 SU as underdogs this season. The Reds are 20-24 SU in 44 games against right-handers this season while the Phillies are 29-16 SU in 45 games against right-handers this year.

The Reds are 1-11 SU in Mahle’s last dozen starts on the road. Cincinnati is also 0-5 SU in his last five road starts against an opponent with a winning record. The Phillies are 5-1 SU in Eflin’s last six home starts, 6-1 SU in their last seven games against an opponent with a losing record and 5-1 SU in their last six home games.

The Phillies have played well at their home field as of late, winning all but one of their last six games there. They have also played well with Eflin as the starter. On the other hand, the Reds have struggled with Mahle on the mound this season. I’m picking the Philadelphia Phillies to beat the Cincinnati Reds on 6/7/19.

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Other Bets To Make

The Reds are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games played and they are 2-1 ATS in their last three games on the road. The Phillies are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games played. Philadelphia is 1-2 ATS in their last three games played at home.

Cincinnati is outscoring Philadelphia by only 0.4 run per game in their last 10 games and 3.33 runs per game in their last three head to head meetings. 18 out of their combined last 20 games have been decided by two or more runs. Prediction: Phillies

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The over is 5-4-1 in the last 10 games played by the Reds. The total has gone over in two out of the last three road games played by Cincinnati. The over is also 5-4-1 in the Phillies’ last 10 games played. The total has gone under in two out of the last three games played by Philadelphia. Head to head, the under is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

Cincinnati has played under the total in four out of their last five games played and in five out of Mahle’s eight road starts. On the other hand, the total has gone under in Philadelphia’s last four home games against right-handed starting pitchers and in four out of their last five home starts. Prediction: Over

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