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The Cincinnati Reds travel to Mile High to take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Friday. Cincinnati is currently last in the NL Central while Colorado is ranked 4th in the NL West right now.
Right-hander Sonny Gray will open on top of the mound for the Reds on Friday. The 29-year old Vanderbilt product has started in a total of 17 games this season and has posted a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 3.59 and a WHIP of 1.18. Cincinnati has a record of 8-2 in Gray’s last 10 appearances.
Sonny Gray has allowed a total of 36 earned runs and 9 home runs in a total of 90.1 innings of pitch work. He has also walked a total of 33 batters while striking out 103. His .224 BAA ranks 8th in the NL. In his last start, Sonny Gray pitched 8 scoreless innings while allowing just four hits as the Reds beat the Brewers 3-0 last July 3rd.
Jose Iglesias leads the Reds with his .282 batting average. Meanwhile, Eugenio Suarez is the main offensive producer with a team-high 54 RBIs and 20 home runs for Cincinnati. As a team, the Reds are hitting at an average of .235 and have scored a total of 368 runs this season.
Reds
+109
Rockies
-119
Odds were taken from Betonline as of 7/12/19
ON the other hand, the Rockies will start with Jon Gray on top of the hill in Game 1 of this series. The 27-year-old right-hander from Oklahoma has started in a total of 18 games and has a record of 9-6 with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. The Rockies are 7-3 in Jon Gray’s last 10 starts.
Jon Gray has allowed a total of 47 earned runs on 107 hits with only 14 home runs given up. Gray has struck out a total of 114 batters while walking 42 others in a total of 108.0 innings pitched. In his last outing, Gray gave up three runs on eight hits in just five innings of work as the Rockies lost 2-4 to the Arizona Diamondbacks last July 6th.
Charlie Blackmon is batting at a .330 clip to pace the Rockies. Blackmon has also drilled a total of 20 dingers to top Colorado while Nolan Arenado’s 67 RBIs are the most by any Rockies’ player this season. Colorado is batting at a .266 and they have scored a total of 490 runs this year.
Who Wins?
Cincinnati is 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played. The Red is 1-4 SU in their last five games on the road. Colorado is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games played. The Rockies are 2-4 SU in their last six games played at home. Head to head, the Rockies are 4-2 SU in their last six games against the Reds.
The Reds are 1-5 SU in their last six games after an off day, 1-5 SU in Gray’s last six starts against an opponent with a losing record and 17-35 in their last 52 games against a right-handed starter. The Rockies are 1-4 SU in their last five Game 1s of a series and 1-4 SU in their last five games against a National League opponent. However, Colorado is 4-0 SU in Jon Gray’s last four home starts, 6-0 in his last six starts against the National League and 4-1 SU in his last five starts overall.
The Rockies are one game below the .500 mark this season but at Coors Field, they are 24-19 SU and that’s why they are still the slight baseball betting favorites here. There’s no better place to break a six-game losing skid than at home and given how Jon Gray has fared in his last few outings, he’s going to deliver a pitching effort that puts Colorado back in the winning side. I’m picking the Colorado Rockies to beat the Cincinnati Reds on 7/12/19.
Other Bets To Make
The Reds are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games played. Cincinnati is 25-17 ATS in 42 road games played this season. The Rockies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played. Colorado is 2-4 ATS in their last six games played at home.
Reds
+1.5 (-160)
Rockies
-1.5 (+140)
Odds were taken from Betonline as of 7/12/19
The Rockies have outscored the Reds by 1.4 runs per game in their last 10 meetings and 1.33 runs per game in their last three head to head games. The Reds have lost their last two games by an average margin of 7.5 runs per game while the Rockies have lost six in a row by an average of 3.33 runs per game. Prediction: Rockies -1.5
The under is 53-30-4 in the Reds’ last 87 games played and 27-14-1 in their 52 road games played this season. The over is 45-40-4 in Colorado’s 89 games played this year and the total has gone over in 27 out of the last 43 games played by the Rockies. Head to head, these teams have seen the total go under in seven out of their last 10 meetings.
This game is played at hitter-friendly Coors Field but remember that teams are coming from the All-Star break and may still be a little off with their timing at this time. Likewise, neither of these “Grays” have allowed too many homers this season. I expect the pitchers to take center stage here in a low-scoring contest. The under is also 7-0 in their last seven meetings in Colorado. Prediction: Under 12
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