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The Toronto Raptors host the Brooklyn Nets on Monday night at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.
Surprise Story
The Brooklyn Nets have been one of the surprise stories of the 2018-19 NBA season as they find themselves involved in the Eastern Conference playoff picture despite not having an established star on their team. The Nets though have struggled as of late as they’ve lost three of their last five games.
Brooklyn is 17th in the NBA in scoring at 111.5 points per game They are 10th in rebounding with 46.1 rebounds per game and are 18th in assists with 23.7 dimes per contest. The Nets are allowing their opponents to score 112.0 points per game which is the 20th ranked scoring defense in the league.
Nets
+425
Raptors
-550
Odds from gtbets.eu as of 2/11/19
Raptors’ New Big Man
When the Nets visit on Monday, the Toronto Raptors will parade their new big man for the first time at their home floor. Marc Gasol, acquired from the Memphis Grizzlies during the trade deadline, will be playing his second game for the Raptors. The Spaniard played 19 minutes in his Raptors debut, scoring 7 points and grabbing six boards in the process.
Toronto is 6th in the NBA in scoring at 113.8 points per game. The Raptors are ranked 15th in passing with 24.4 assists per game and they are also 16th off the glass with 45.2 rebounds per game. Toronto ranks 10th in scoring defense at 108.2 points per game allowed.
Who Wins?
The Nets are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games played and Brooklyn is 2-1 SU in its last three games on the road. The Raptors are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. Toronto is 3-1 SU in their last four home games. Head to head, the Raptors are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games played against the Nets.
The Raptors have also added firepower and they did so in a big way, acquiring Marc Gasol from the Memphis Grizzlies at the trade deadline. Gasol hasn’t been fully integrated yet to the Toronto offense but once he does, the Raptors are going to be a much better team with his defense, passing and scoring.
When you look at their lineups, Toronto has the advantage in size and length, much so with Marc Gasol on their team now. The Nets have over-achieved but to ask them to beat this Raptors team in Toronto may be too much on Monday night. The Raptors are a mighty 22-5 SU at home while Brooklyn is a pedestal 12-15 on the road this season.
I’m picking the Toronto Raptors to beat the Brooklyn Nets on 2/11/19.
Other Bets To Make
Brooklyn is 5-5 ATS in its last 10 games played and the Nets are 2-1 ATS in three road games during that period. Toronto is 6-4 ATS in its last 10 games played. The Raptors are 3-1 ATS in their last four home games. Head to head, the Raptors are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings against the Nets.
Nets
+10.5 (-113)
Raptors
-10.5 (-107)
Odds from betonline.ag as of 2/11/19
Brooklyn’s a nice story this season but they seem to have slowed down in the last couple of games, going 1-3 ATS in their last four. They have also struggled against the top teams going 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage of above .600. The Raptors meanwhile continue to roll. They are 3-1 ATS in their last four games played and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after a straight up win. Three of Toronto’s last four wins have come by 12 or more points. I think the Raptors get this.
Prediction: Toronto -10.5
The over is 4-2 in the last six games played by the Nets. Brooklyn has seen the total go under in two out of their last three games on the road. The total has gone under in eight out of the last 10 games played by the Raptors. The under is 4-0 in Toronto’s last four games played at home. Head to head, the under is 4-3 in the last seven meetings between these two teams.
Nets
O 226.5 -110
Raptors
U 226.5 -110
Odds from betonline.ag as of 2/11/19
The under is 6-0 in Brooklyn’s last six Monday games and 5-1 in their last six games when playing on two days rest. The under is also 5-0 in Toronto’s last five games and the total has also gone under in the last seven games after a straight up win by Toronto. Toronto has played good defense as of late and with Brooklyn relying on their guards for majority of their scoring, I think the Raptors’ size and length are going to limit Brooklyn’s points here.
Prediction: Under 226.5
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