The Milwaukee Brewers hit the road as they take on the San Francisco Giants in a four-game set at Oracle Park. Game 1 of the series will be on Monday, August 30th.
This is the second meeting between these two teams who are currently the top teams in the National League. In their matchup earlier this month, the Giants won 2-1 in Milwaukee. Now the Brewers are looking to return the favor when they meet in San Francisco.
The Giants are currently listing Kris Bryant and Evan Longoria as questionable for this game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are 79-52 on the season. They have the best record in the National League Central division and have an 8.5 game lead over the Cincinnati Reds in the divisional standings. The Brewers avoided getting swept by the Minnesota Twins by defeating them 6-2 on Sunday to snap a three-game losing streak.
Milwaukee struggled on offense at the start of the season, ranking in the bottom 10 in runs, home runs, RBI, and OBP. However, they have picked up the slack and are now above average in those offensive categories. The Brewers also rank in the Top 5 in drawing walks and are in the Top 10 in stolen bases.
Brandon Woodruff will open on top of the mound for the Brewers in this opening game of the series. Woodruff is 8-7 in 25 starts this season with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 0.93 with a 177/37 K/BB ratio. In his last start, Woodruff pitched six innings and gave up four hits with zero walks and zero earned runs while striking out 10 in a win against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Brewers’ third baseman Eduardo Escobar is still on the injured list with a hamstring injury.
Odds from BetOnline as of 08/30/2021
San Francisco Giants
The Giants have a record of 84-46 and they are the best team in the majors with a record of 84-46. Unfortunately for them, they are grouped with the second-best team in baseball in the defending champions Dodgers who are only 2.5 games behind them in the team standings. San Francisco lost to the Atlanta Braves in their most recent series 2-1 and was blanked 9-0 by the Braves on Sunday.
San Francisco ranks in the Top 10 in runs, hits, home runs, RBI, batting average, OBL, SLG, and OPS. The Giants traded for Kris Bryant at the deadline to further solidify their lineup.
Johnny Cueto will start for the Giants in Game 1. Cueto has 20 starts this season and has posted a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.30 with a K/BB ratio of 94/27. Coming off the IL, Cueto did not go past five innings in his last start, allowing five hits, three walks, zero earned runs while striking two batters in 4.2 innings in a no-decision against the Mets.
The Brewers are 13-6 in their last 19 games played. Milwaukee is 15-5 in their last 20 games played on the road, 40-14 in their last 54 games after a win, 20-7 in their last 27 games as road favorites, 8-3 in their last 11 Games 1s of a series, 20-8 in their last 28 games against the National League West, and 43-18 in their last 61 games against a right-handed starter.
San Francisco is 15-5 in their last 20 games played. The Giants are 37-14 in their last 51 games when allowing more than five runs in their previous game, 42-16 in their last 58 games against a right-handed starter, 9-2 in their last 11 Monday games, 6-2 in their last eight games against an opponent with a winning record, and 26-11 in their last 37 Game 1 of a series.
Woodruff has been terrific on the road this season with opposing batters hitting just .161 against him away from home. In his August 7th outing against the Giants, he allowed only one earned run on six hits and one walk with eight strikeouts. Meanwhile, Cueto conceded three earned runs with five hits and one walk with three strikeouts in his lone start against the Brewers this season.
With two of the best teams in the MLB right now, these two teams are evenly matched and Milwaukee’s advantage in the starting pitcher department should be the key to victory here.
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers
The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by the Brewers. The under is 3-0-1 in their last five games as betting favorites, 4-0-1 in their last five games played on grass, 3-1-1 in their last five games after allowing two or fewer runs in their previous game, and 9-3-2 in their last 14 Game 1 of a series.
The total has gone under in five out of the last seven games played by the Giants. The under is 5-0 when their opponent scores five or more runs in their previous games, 5-1-1 in their last seven games played on grass, 12-3-2 in their last 17 games against a right-handed starter, 4-1 in their last five games, 5-2 in their last seven games against a starting pitcher with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Odds from BetOnline as of 08/30/2021
As stated earlier, Woodruff pitched very well against the Giants this season. Meanwhile, Cueto is a better pitcher at home than he is on the road, with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.06. Opposing hitters have been batting just .244 against him away from home.
Aside from two good starters, these teams have a bullpen that ranks in the Top 10 in most pitching categories. Because of those, I expect this to be a low-scoring game as the NL’s top two teams play for supremacy.
Prediction: Under 7.5