When people want to win the most money with NFL betting, they make sure to do three things: read up on expert NFL picks, chase a likely upset or attack lines they know the underdog has a legit chance at meeting. Some lines and odds are just too tempting to pass on, while others are so bogus you probably shouldn’t waste your time. We’re back to figure out which way to lean in our week 7 picks, so listen to the logic and chase these four upsets if you’ve got the guts:

Upset to Chase: Jets over Patriots (Jets Underdog with -9.5 line)

New England actually deserves this line for how they’ve been playing lately (over 37 points in each of past two games), while the Jets have been atrocious on both sides of the ball. While this will likely be a Patriots blowout win, divisional games can be tricky – especially when Rex Ryan is involved. With the Jets staring a dead season in the face and Thursday Night Football delivering some classic horrible football mostly, this one could be a shocker worth chasing.

Panthers over Packers (-7)

Both Carolina and Green Bay have been pretty bad on defense overall, so we could be in for quite the shootout at Lambeau Field this week. The Packers are sure to put up a ton of points and probably will win, but Carolina won’t be far behind. Green Bay stinks against read option offenses, and Cam Newton can run it like a wizard. Carolina could keep this one close, while an upset certainly isn’t out of the realm of possibility.

49ers over Broncos (-6.5)

Denver is an offensive giant, but they did lose to Seattle this year and the 49ers’ defense can be pretty tough, even on the road. While the Broncos are pretty likely to hold down the fort at Mile High, it’s not all that likely to be by a wide margin. Take the 49ers to cover the spread and you probably won’t be too disappointed. Taking them straight up isn’t the worst idea, either.

Giants over Cowboys (-6.5)

This is a beatable line for the G-Men, as it’s not always the best idea to give a big line for a divisional showdown. Dallas probably is going to win this one with it being at home, but it’s worth noting that the Giants got shutout last week and may come out angry. Again, it’s a divisional game, too, and they’re highly unpredictable. Big Blue has a solid chance at covering here, however.

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