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The 2nd week of Stage 4 of the Overwatch League is starting today and the 12 matches that will be played over these next 4 days are full of Overwatch betting opportunities. The landscape has changed quite a bit since the end of Stage 3, with new top contenders emerging and taking the place of some of the old giants.
Standings Table
- 1st place: Los Angeles Gladiators (2 W – 0 L)
- 2nd place: Houston Outlaws (2 W – 0 L)
- 3rd place: Philadelphia Fusion (2 W – 0 L)
- 4th place: New York Excelsior (2 W – 0 L)
- 5th place: Los Angeles Valiant (2 W – 0 L)
- 6th place: San Francisco Shock (1 W – 1 L)
- 7th place: Dallas Fuel (1 W – 1 L)
- 8th place: Seoul Dynasty (0 W – 2 L)
- 9th place: Boston Uprising (0 W – 2 L)
- 10th place: Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 2 L)
- 11th placeLondon Spitfire (0 W – 2 L)
- 12th place: Florida Mayhem (0 W – 2 L)
Betting Predictions
Boston Uprising (0 W – 2 L) vs. Dallas Fuel (1 W – 1 L)
Match date: May 23rd
Boston Uprising had a formidable Stage 3, finishing with 10 wins and 0 losses. The team only lost the Grand Final of the Title Matches against New York Excelsior and dominated every opponent throughout the rest of the stage. However, following this achievement, Uprising lost its head coach, who joined San Francisco Shock. This change was felt immediately and in the first week of Stage 4, Boston Uprising lost both of its matches. One against Philadelphia Fusion and one against Houston Outlaws. This is a clear sign that the great team from just one month ago is no more and has been replaced with a shadow of its former self. Going forward, expect Uprising to lose most of its matches against the top contenders.
On the other side, Dallas Fuel was a complete disaster in the previous stage, losing multiple key players and finishing with a record of 1 win and 9 losses. The team looked absolutely abysmal and got crushed by everyone except Shanghai Dragons. In the first week of Stage 4, Dallas Fuel won a match against Shanghai Dragons (so the victory is pretty much irrelevant) and lost another one against Los Angeles Gladiators (a sign that Fuel is probably still a very weak team compared to most of its OWL opponents).
Head to head results and overall performance statistics clearly favor Uprising to win this match. Recent form indicates that Boston Uprising is on a downward spiral, but the team is still much stronger than Dallas Fuel at this point.
Betway puts the odds for this match at 1.15 – 4.30 in favor of Boston Uprising, regarding it as a predetermined victory for the Stage 3 runner-up. And this assessment is pretty much on point.
Betting prediction: Boston Uprising to win.
Florida Mayhem (0 W – 2 L) vs. Los Angeles Valiant (2 W – 0 L)
Match date: May 23rd
Florida Mayhem is one of the weakest teams in the league, having an overall score of 6 wins and 26 losses. That’s an absolutely awful win rate. In Stage 3 Mayhem finished with 2 wins and 8 losses and in the first week of Stage 4 the team lost both of its matches. One against New York Excelsior and one against Philadelphia Fusion. Given these indicators, expect this team to finish Stage 4 somewhere around 10th – 12th place with less than 3 victories overall.
Los Angeles Valiant is one of the hottest teams in OWL right now and had a pretty good Stage 3, finishing in 3rd place with 7 wins and 3 losses. In the first week of Stage 4 Valiant defeated Seoul Dynasty and Shanghai Dragons, clearly showing that it’s still playing well and should be regarded as a top contender.
Overall performance throughout the entire duration of the Overwatch League, head to head results and recent form statistics all favor Los Angeles Valiant to win this match.
Betway puts the odds at 7.50 – 1.05, anticipating a very easy victory for Valiant in this encounter.
prediction: Los Angeles Valiant to win.
Houston Outlaws (2 W – 0 L) vs. Los Angeles Gladiators (2 W – 0 L)
Match date: May 23rd
Although it has a strong and capable roster, Houston Outlaws performed terribly in Stage 3 and finished in 9th place with just 4 wins and 6 losses. In the first week of Stage 4 however, Outlaws showed clear signs that it’s been hard at work to improve its playstyle, defeating both London Spitfire and Boston Uprising. Going forward, expect Houston Outlaws to produce a lot of great results and defeat most of the top contenders.
Los Angeles Gladiators had a pretty decent Stage 3, finishing in 4th place with 6 victories and 4 defeats. Gladiators struggled and lost against the 3 teams that ultimately placed above it, namely Boston Uprising, New York Excelsior and Los Angeles Valiant. However, it still displayed a lot of skill against many other opponents and the overall trend is towards progress. In the first week of Stage 4, Los Angeles Gladiators defeated San Francisco Shock (its Stage 3 nemesis) and Dallas Fuel.
The previous 3 matches between these two teams ended with 1 victory in favor of Houston Outlaws and 2 in favor of Los Angeles Gladiators. In terms of recent form and overall performance throughout the entire league, Gladiators is slightly favored to be victorious in this encounter. But the advantage is very small.
Betway puts the odds at 1.65 – 2.00 in favor of Houston Outlaws, regarding the underdog as the actual favorite based on the fact that it defeated stronger opponents than Gladiators in the first week of Stage 4. I personally think that’s not very relevant and would bet on LA Gladiators here, especially at these high odds.
Betting prediction: Los Angeles Gladiators to win.
