Week 4 of Stage 4 of the Overwatch League is already underway and today’s matches offer several Overwatch betting opportunities. This article analyzes these matches but first, let’s have a look at what the teams have done so far in Stage 4.
- 1st place: Los Angeles Valiant (6 W – 0 L)
- 2nd place: New York Excelsior (5 W – 1 L)
- 3rd place: Los Angeles Gladiators (5 W – 1 L)
- 4th place: Houston Outlaws (5 W – 2 L)
- 5th place: San Francisco Shock (4 W – 2 L)
- 6th place: Dallas Fuel (4 W – 3 L)
- 7th place: Philadelphia Fusion (3 W – 3 L)
- 8th place: London Spitfire (3 W – 3 L)
- 9th place: Seoul Dynasty (2 W – 5 L)
- 10th place: Boston Uprising (1 W – 6 L)
- 11th place: Florida Mayhem (1 W – 6 L)
- 12th place: Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 7 L)
Los Angeles Valiant (6 W – 0 L) vs. London Spitfire (3 W – 3 L)
Match date: June 7th
After a 7 W – 3 L record and a 3rd place finish in Stage 3, LA Valiant upgraded its playstyle and has crushed everyone so far in Stage 4. The team is currently sitting at the top of the league with 6 wins and 0 losses, even though it has already faced some of the other main contenders. Both New York Excelsior and Los Angeles Gladiators fell to Valiant’s might last week, a sign which clearly proves this version of Los Angeles Valiant is much stronger than any of the previous ones.
London Spitfire is the Stage 1 champion, but the team has lost a lot of its prowess since then. In Stage 3, Spitfire finished in 6th place with a record of 5 W – 5 L. Stage 4 hasn’t been any easier for this team, which is now standing at number 8 with 3 wins and 3 losses. The only important team defeated by London Spitfire in Stage 4 was San Francisco Shock. At the same time, Spitfire’s defeats came against key opponents such as New York Excelsior, Houston Outlaws, and Dallas Fuel.
Overall performance statistics throughout OWL indicate that Los Angeles Valiant will win this match. Recent form statistics are also a strong indicator that Valiant is the better team. The only thing that worries me is the head to head record. Spitfire and Valiant met each other twice in the Overwatch League and both of these matches were won by Spitfire (score 3 – 2 each time). However, considering the fact that Los Angeles Valiant is on a completely different level right now compared to the first 3 stages, it should definitely win this match.
Betway puts the odds at 1.20 – 3.80 in favor of LA Valiant, clearly regarding it as the heavy favorite. And in principle that’s definitely true, especially considering the team’s recent victory against New York Excelsior. If you’re a casual Overwatch bettor and only place bets from time to time, you should pick Valiant to win this match. But if you bet regularly and have a system in place, you should probably bet on the underdog, as the odds of an upset are much higher than what these odds suggest (around 35%).
Betting prediction: Los Angeles Valiant to win.
Los Angeles Gladiators (5 W – 1 L) vs. New York Excelsior (5 W – 1 L)
Match date: June 7th
After finishing 4th in Stage 3, LA Gladiators started Stage 4 at full strength and has won 5 of its first 6 matches. The only team that managed to beat Gladiators in this stage was LA Valiant. Apart from this formidable opponent, 3 other strong adversaries fell to Gladiator’s might: Houston Outlaws, San Francisco Shock and Philadelphia Fusion. No doubt, the Los Angeles Gladiators is in great shape right now, but it’s still an underdog compared to New York Excelsior.
New York Excelsior is easily the best team in OWL in terms of overall performance, sitting on a record of 32 W – 4 L. One of these losses took place last week against LA Valiant (2 – 3), but Excelsior is still one tier above every other team in the league right now. So a defeat against Los Angeles Gladiators in this match is very unlikely.
Overall performance throughout OWL favors Excelsior. Stage 4 performance has been the same for both teams (5 W – 1 L). The head to head record clearly favors Excelsior (2 – 0). All things considered, New York Excelsior is much more likely to win this match than LA Gladiators and a bet on them would imply minimal risks.
Betway puts the odds for this match at 4.00 – 1.16 in favor of New York Excelsior, anticipating a very easy victory in its favor. Betting prediction: New York Excelsior to win.
San Francisco Shock (4 W – 2 L) vs. Philadelphia Fusion (3 W – 3 L)
Match date: June 7th
After transferring in the head coach of Boston Uprising, San Francisco Shock transformed its playstyle and has gotten better and better with every passing week. Its 4 W – 2 L record speaks for itself and we will likely see this team climbing even higher than its current 5th place position in the standings table. In Stage 4, San Francisco Shock’s victories came against Dallas Fuel, Houston Outlaws, Seoul Dynasty and Boston Uprising, while the defeats were suffered at the hands of Los Angeles Gladiators and London Spitfire.
Philadelphia Fusion had a fairly poor run in Stage 3, finishing 8th with a record of 5 W – 5 L. In Stage 4, the team has had a very similar path so far, losing against Los Angeles Gladiators, Dallas Fuel and New York Excelsior and winning against 3 irrelevant teams: Shanghai Dragons, Florida Mayhem, and Boston Uprising.
In the latest direct match between Shock and Fusion, Shock won with a score of 3 – 1, asserting its dominance. Based on what we’ve seen so far in Stage 4, I fully expect them to win again.
Betway puts the odds for this match at 1.36 – 2.70 in favor of San Francisco Shock, assessing that it is much stronger than Philadelphia Fusion at this point. And that’s entirely correct.
Betting prediction: San Francisco Shock to win.