Week 4 of the 3rd stage of the Overwatch League is almost at the end there are only 6 more matches to be played today and tomorrow. Multiple betting opportunities are available but before I start analyzing them, let’s have a look at the current standings table.

Current standings table

  • 1st place: Boston Uprising (7 WINS – 0 LOSSES)
  • 2nd place: New York Excelsior (6 WINS – 1 LOSS)
  • 3rd place: Los Angeles Valiant (5 WINS – 2 LOSSES)
  • 4th place: Los Angeles Gladiators (4 WINS – 3 LOSSES)
  • 5th place: Seoul Dynasty (4 WINS – 3 LOSSES)
  • 6th place: Houston Outlaws (4 WINS – 3 LOSSES)
  • 7th place: San Francisco Shock (4 WINS – 3 LOSSES)
  • 8th place: Philadelphia Fusion (3 WINS – 4 LOSSES)
  • 9th place: London Spitfire (2 WINS – 5 LOSSES)
  • 10th place: Florida Mayhem (2 WINS – 5 LOSSES)
  • 11th place: Dallas Fuel (1 WIN – 6 LOSSES)
  • 12th place: Shanghai Dragons (0 WINS – 7 LOSSES)

Betting predictions

Dallas Fuel (1 W – 6 L) vs. Boston Uprising (7 W – 0 L)

Match date: April 27th

Dallas Fuel has been struggling to get out of the depths of Overwatch hell for a very long time. The team finished Stage 2 in 11th place with just 2 victories and 8 defeats and is heading towards a similar destination in Stage 3. Apart from Shanghai Dragons, a team they already defeated at this stage, Dallas Fuel can’t seem to beat anyone else. And if they couldn’t defeat Florida Mayhem in their last match, they definitely won’t be able to defeat Boston Uprising in this one.

Boston Uprising is the team of the moment in OWL, having defeated all the top contenders in Stage 3 with the exception of Los Angeles Valiant (the two teams will meet next week). At this point, Uprising looks unstoppable even for the likes of New York Excelsior, let alone Dallas Fuel.

Overall performance statistics throughout the entire Overwatch League favor Boston Uprising. Recent form statistics and the head to head record also point towards an easy victory for Uprising in this encounter.

Our Pick

Betway puts the odds for this match at 7.00 – 1.07 in favor of Boston Uprising, effectively giving you a 7% return for whatever you put in the middle. The success of Uprising in this match is 99% certain. Betting prediction: Boston Uprising to win.

Place Your Bet Here

Los Angeles Gladiators (4 W – 3 L) vs. Houston Outlaws (4 W – 3 L)

Match date: April 27th

Los Angeles Gladiators is very close to Los Angeles Valiant in the standings table, so a victory here would help the team a lot. Gladiators started Stage 3 poorly, with a defeat against San Francisco Shock. Then it oscillated between good and bad results. This week, it defeated London Spitfire in a very close match (score 3 – 2), although this victory isn’t particularly relevant simply because Spitfire is not exactly at the top of its game right now.

On the other side, Houston Outlaws finished Stage 1 in 3rd place, Stage 2 in 7th place and now is sitting at number 6 in the standings table. The team is slightly weaker than the best competitors in the league (Boston Uprising and New York Excelsior) but can beat pretty much anyone else. This week, Houston Outlaws already defeated Los Angeles Valiant, a team which in turn defeated Los Angeles Gladiators several times in the Overwatch League.

Overall performance statistics throughout the entire Overwatch League favors Houston Outlaws. The head to head record is 1 – 1. Recent form statistics suggest that Houston Outlaws is stronger.

Our Pick

Betway puts the odds for this match at 1.70 – 2.05 in favor of Los Angeles Gladiators, but I believe the situation is actually reversed. Outlaws has a higher chance of winning this encounter than Gladiators, making this match a perfect betting opportunity.
Betting prediction: Houston Outlaws to win.

Place Your Bet Here

Los Angeles Valiant (5 W – 2 L) vs. Florida Mayhem (2 W – 5 L)

Match date: April 27th

After winning 5 matches in a row, Los Angeles Valiant started to lose momentum last week and its last two matches ended in defeat. Both London Spitfire and Houston Outlaws managed to find its weaknesses and exploit them to perfection. However, this team is still very strong and should have to problem defeating the likes of Florida Mayhem.

Florida Mayhem only has 2 victories in Stage 3, and both of them were against extremely weak opponents (Shanghai Dragons and Dallas Fuel). Subsequently, it’s hard to give Mayhem any credit or regard it as a strong team following these positive results. Against the stronger opponents, such as New York Excelsior, Philadelphia Fusion or Houston Outlaws, Florida Mayhem didn’t put much of a fight. Which makes me think that its match against Los Angeles Valiant will go pretty much the same way.

Overall performance statistics throughout the entire Overwatch League clearly favor Los Angeles Valiant. Recent form statistics and head to head results also suggest that Valiant is the stronger side, even though the head to head record is actually 1 – 1. At the time of their defeat against Mayhem in Stage 2, Valiant was in very bad shape and was actually losing against almost every single team in the league.

Our Pick

Betway puts the odds for this match at 1.35 – 2.95 in favor of Los Angeles Valiant, and these odds are actually very high on Valiant’s side all things considered. Betting prediction: Los Angeles Valiant to win.

Place Your Bet Here

San Francisco Shock (4 W – 3 L) vs. London Spitfire (2 W – 5 L)

Match date: April 28th
Odds: to be announced

After ending Stage 1 and 2 in 9th place with a record of 3 wins and 7 losses, San Francisco Shock has had a much better run so far in Stage 3 and is currently sitting at number 7 in the rankings table with 4 victories and 3 defeats. In particular, Shock’s wins against Los Angeles Gladiators and Philadelphia Fusion represent clear evidence that the team is now significantly stronger than it was it the previous 2 stages of the Overwatch League.

London Spitfire is having a really bad stage for some reason. The team has lost in Stage 3 no less than 5 matches or as many as it lost in the previous two stages combined. Houston Outlaws, New York Excelsior, Philadelphia Fusion, Boston Uprising and Los Angeles Gladiators defeated them in a more or less convincing way. Their two victories came against Florida Mayhem and Los Angeles Valiant. This latest victory was actually really important, but unfortunately, Spitfire did not manage to turn it into a positive streak and lost the very next match against Los Angeles Gladiators.

Overall performance statistics throughout the entire Overwatch League clearly favor London Spitfire. Head to head statistics also favors the London team (2 – 0). Recent form statistics, however, point towards a San Francisco Shock victory in this match.

Our Pick

Personally, I think that Spitfire will wake up from the sleep of defeat and actually emerge victorious here. Betting prediction: London Spitfire to win.

Place Your Bet Here

Seoul Dynasty (4 W – 3 L) vs. New York Excelsior (6 W – 1 L)

Match date: April 28th
Odds: to be announced

Seoul Dynasty looks to have woken up all of a sudden, defeating Philadelphia Fusion in its first match of the week after a grueling 5 maps battle. This result was probably Dynasty’s most relevant success in Stage 3, given that the team’s first 3 victories came against Shanghai Dragons, Dallas Fuel, and San Francisco Shock. It would be amazing if Seoul Dynasty could actually turn this win into a positive streak, but I’m afraid that’s not going to happen. Not against this opponent.

With 24 wins and just 3 losses throughout the first 3 stages of OWL, New York Excelsior is by far the most consistent and the most successful team in the league. Apart from Boston Uprising, which managed to defeat it (score 3 – 2), no other opponent was able to stand in its way in Stage 3. London Spitfire, Houston Outlaws, Philadelphia Fusion and Los Angeles Gladiators among others, tried their hardest to win against Excelsior and failed. Seoul Dynasty will be the next on the list.

Our Pick

Overall performance statistics throughout the entire Overwatch League clearly favor New York Excelsior. Recent form statistics point in the same direction. Head to head results (2 – 0) also leaves no doubt about who is more likely to win this match. Betting prediction: New York Excelsior to win.

Place Your Bet Here

Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 7 L) vs. Philadelphia Fusion (3 W – 4 L)

Match date: April 28th
Odds: to be announced

Shanghai Dragons’ impressive losing streak (27) seems never-ending at this point. Will this Perpetuum mobile actually stop anytime soon? Probably not in this match. Shanghai Dragons played 7 matches in Stage 3 and all of them ended with a score of either 4 – 0 or 3 – 1 in favor of their opponent. Given this statistic, this is the perfect team to bet against choosing a -1.5 handicap for its adversary.

Even though it has suffered no less than 4 defeats so far in Stage 3, Philadelphia Fusion is still lightyears away from Shanghai Dragons in terms of skill, recent form, head to head statistics and overall results. The team lost against the top contenders (Boston Uprising, New York Excelsior) and two other average teams (San Francisco Shock and Seoul Dynasty), but won against Florida Mayhem, London Spitfire, and Houston Outlaws.

Our Pick

Judging by its victories and its good performances even in the matches it lost, we can clearly conclude that Philadelphia Fusion is still a very strong side that will almost certainly crush Shanghai Dragons without losing more than a map. Betting prediction: Philadelphia Fusion to win.

Place Your Bet Here

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