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Week 3 of Stage 3 of the Overwatch League is starting today and a total of six matches are scheduled for April 18th-19th. The betting opportunities abound, but before I start analyzing the matches let’s have a look at the current standings table.
Stage 3 Standings Table
- 1st place: Los Angeles Valiant (4 W – 0 L)
- 2nd place: Boston Uprising (4 W – 0 L)
- 3rd place: New York Excelsior (3 W – 1 L)
- 4th place: Los Angeles Gladiators (3 W – 1 L)
- 5th place: Philadelphia Fusion (3 W – 1 L)
- 6th place: Seoul Dynasty (2 W – 2 L)
- 7th place: San Francisco Shock (2 W – 2 L)
- 8th place: Dallas Fuel (1 W – 3 L)
- 9th place: London Spitfire (1 W – 3 L)
- 10th place: Houston Outlaws (1 W – 3 L)
- 11th place: Florida Mayhem (0 W – 4 L)
- 12th place: Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 4 L)
Betting Predictions
Los Angeles Gladiators (3 W – 1 L) vs. Los Angeles Valiant (4 W – 0 L)
Match date: April 18th
Both Los Angeles Gladiators and Los Angeles Valiant started Stage 3 in force. After an unexpected defeat against San Francisco Shock, LA Gladiators went on to defeat Dallas Fuel, Shanghai Dragons and Seoul Dynasty. Meanwhile, LA Valiant demolished every single one of its adversaries and until its last victory against Dallas Fuel, the team hadn’t dropped a single map. Seoul Dynasty, Shanghai Dragons and San Francisco Shock saw themselves annihilated by Valiant and totally incapable to respond their tactics.
Overall performance throughout the Overwatch League slightly favors Los Angeles Valiant. The head to head record between these two LA teams is 1 – 1. Current form statistics also point towards a Los Angeles Valiant victory. The only sign of concern is the previous direct match result, which was 4 – 0 in favor of Los Angeles Gladiators. However, at the time of that encounter Los Angeles Valiant was in bad shape and was struggling against most of the teams.
Betway puts the odds at 2.55 – 1.45 in Los Angeles Valiant’s favor, giving a lot of respect to LA Gladiators but still regarding Valiant as the much stronger team.
Betting prediction: Los Angeles Valiant to win.
Dallas Fuel (1 W – 3 L) vs. San Francisco Shock (2 W – 2 L)
Match date: April 18th
Dallas Fuel has only one victory so far in Stage 3, after losing three matches against Los Angeles Gladiators, Los Angeles Valiant and Seoul Dynasty. Clearly, the team is still struggling with the loss of one of its key players, xQc. However, in spite of these poor results, Dallas Fuel is still a very strong team and you can see that by looking at its losses. Their opponents didn’t just walk over them, they had to work for their wins. Los Angeles Gladiators lost a map, Seoul Dynasty lost 2 maps, while Los Angeles Valiant drew one map and lost another in its match against Dallas Fuel. And all of these teams are among the best in the league.
San Francisco Shock started Stage 3 with better results, winning half of its matches. But its bad losses against Los Angeles Valiant (score 0 – 4) and Seoul Dynasty (score 0 – 4) reveal the team’s weaknesses against heavy opponents.
The head to head record between Dallas Fuel and San Francisco Shock is 1 – 1. Overall statistics favor the San Francisco team, but recent performances point towards a Dallas Fuel victory.
Betway puts the odds at 1.95 – 1.75 in favor of San Francisco Shock, but the “underdog” is actually stronger and will likely win this match.
Betting prediction: Dallas Fuel to win.
Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 4 L) vs. Seoul Dynasty (2 W – 2 L)
Match date: April 18th
If you’re familiar with the Overwatch League, you already know that Shanghai Dragons is every Overwatch bettor’s cash cow. This team is currently 0 W – 24 L in the first 3 stages and it looks like it’s impossible for the rest of the teams to lose against it. Even the bottom OWL competitors crush it without any problems, let alone strong sides like Seoul Dynasty.
Worst case scenario, Seoul Dynasty is going to win this game with the score of 3 – 1. But if everything goes according to plan, they won’t drop a single map.
Betway puts the odds at 8.00 – 1.05 in favor of Seoul Dynasty and this is basically free money to be made.
Betting prediction: Seoul Dynasty to win.
Houston Outlaws (1 W – 3 L) vs. Florida Mayhem (0 W – 4 L)
Match date: April 19th
Houston Outlaws finished Stage 1 in 3rd place and Stage 2 in 2nd place. Now it’s sitting in a humiliating 10th place, but that won’t last long. Outlaws lost 3 of its first 4 matches, being defeated by probably the 3 strongest teams in OWL at the moment: New York Excelsior, Boston Uprising and Philadelphia Fusion. Except for the New York match (score 0 – 4), the other 2 losses were very close (score 2 – 3). Furthermore, Outlaws also had a victory against the Stage 1 champions, London Spitfire.
All of these things indicate that Houston Outlaws is still a strong team in spite of its recent results and will likely beat opponents like Florida Mayhem.
Betway puts the odds at 1.30 – 3.20 in favor of Houston Outlaws, which is very generous considering the massive skill difference between these two teams.
Betting prediction: Houston Outlaws to win.
Boston Uprising (4 W – 0 L) vs. London Spitfire (1 W – 3 L)
Match date: April 19th
Boston Uprising is absolutely owning right now, so this match should be very fun to watch and bet on. Uprising defeated 3 strong teams (Philadelphia Fusion, Houston Outlaws and New York Excelsior) in its first 4 matches and it looks like they’re fully capable of keeping up this great run.
On the other side, London Spitfire lost 3 matches against the exact same teams that Boston Uprising defeated: Houston Outlaws (score 2 – 3), New York Excelsior (score 0 – 4) and Philadelphia Fusion (score 2 – 3). It looks like the Stage 1 winner is going through a rough period of disappointing results.
The head to head record between Boston Uprising and London Spitfire is 1 – 1. Overall performance throughout the Overwatch League favors London Spitfire. Current form statistics clearly favor Boston Uprising. The last direct encounter between these two teams ended with a decisive victory for London Spitfire (4 – 0), but those days are long gone.
This match result is somewhat unpredictable but still Boston Uprising favored.
Betway puts the odds at 2.30 – 1.55 in favor of London Spitfire, which I believe is an upside-down assessment of the current situation. The underdog is actually the London team.
Betting prediction: Boston Uprising to win.
Philadelphia Fusion (3 W – 1 L) vs. New York Excelsior (3 W – 1 L)
Match date: April 19th
This is a rematch of the Stage 2 Grand Final. New York Excelsior won that match (score 3 – 2), but what we’ve seen from both of these teams over the past 2 weeks complicates the situation quite a bit, making the result of this next encounter quite difficult to predict.
The head to head record between these teams is 2 – 1 in favor of Excelsior. Overall performance clearly favors them as well, as they are the strongest team in OWL across all 3 stages. Current form statistics also point towards a victory for the New York team, in spite of its recent defeat against Boston Uprising (score 2 – 3).
This match is highly unpredictable but New York Excelsior is still favored to win it.
Betway puts the odds at 2.55 – 1.45 in favor of New York Excelsior, assessing that Philadelphia Fusion is considerably weaker than the New York team.
Betting prediction: New York Excelsior to win.
