2020 Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 NASCAR Betting Odds and Prediction

NASCAR action heads to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway in Indiana on July 5, 2020, for The Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400. The race will be the 27th running of the race that is better known as the Brickyard 400. It will be contested over 160 laps on the 2.5-mile speedway and is the 16th race of the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series season.

NASCAR legend Jeff Gordon is the winningest driver in this race with a total of five victories while Jimmie Johnson leads all current drivers with a total of four race wins here. Defending Cup Series champion Kyle Busch won here in 2015 and 2016 while defending Brickyard 400 winner Kevin Harvick also won in 2003.

Pocono Organics 325 and 350 Results

Back to back races were held at the Pocono Raceway in Long Pond, Pennsylvania last weekend as the Pocono Organics 325 was raced on Saturday afternoon and the Pocono Organics 350 on Sunday afternoon.

Harvick won his third race of the season as he crossed the chequered flag first in Saturday’s Pocono Organics 325. Harvick started the race in 9th and he ended up with his first win at the track in 39 tries. He crossed the finish line ahead of Denny Hamlin and Aric Almirola.

Round 2 at Pocono went to Denny Hamlin who notched his fourth race win of the season. Hamlin topped Kevin Harvick for the victory at the 350 race, flipping the results of Saturday’s 325 races where Harvick finished ahead of Hamlin. The win was Hamlin’s sixth at Pocono and it matched Jeff Gordon’s record for most wins at the 2.5-mile tri-oval track.

Here are the updated 2020 NASCAR Cup Series standings after the Pocono Organics double-header last weekend:

Season leader Kevin Harvick is the odds on favorite to win Saturday’s Pocono 325. Harvick finished 10th in the GEICO 500 last weekend and is looking to bounce back after finishing 22nd in the Pocono 400 race last year.

After their wins at Pocono, Hamlin and Harvick are the co-betting favorites to win this weekend’s Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400. Both drivers are currently priced at +450 while defending Cup Series champion Kyle Busch who is still struggling in the standings is third at +500.

Here are the odds to win the Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 on July 5, 2020. These odds were taken from the online sportsbook MyBookie.ag as of 06/26/2020:

Who Are the Favorites?

Denny Hamlin has climbed one spot to fifth place in the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series standings with 506 points. He is the winningest driver this season with a total of four races won including last weekend’s Pocono 350 race and two out of the last four races of the season. He has finished in the Top 5 in eight out of his last 11 races including his last four. When it comes to the Brickyard, Hamlin has six Top 10 finishes including four Top 5s in his last 10 races. He finished sixth in last year’s Brickyard 400 and was third in the same race in 2018.

Kevin Harvick retained the top spot in the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series standings with a win and second-place finish last week at Pocono. Harvick ranks next to Denny Hamlin with 3 race wins and 8 Top 5 finishes this season. The 44-year old has four Top 10 finishes in his last six races and is the defending champion in this race. Harvick is averaging a 4.6 finish in his last six trips to Indianapolis and has seven Top 10 finishes in his last 10 appearances at the Brickyard.

Kyle Busch has been having a tough start to the season. The defending Cup Series champion has fallen outside the Top 10 and has finished 32 or worse in two out of the last three races of the season. Despite his struggles, Busch’s success at the Brickyard is unmistakable. He’s won this race twice in the last five years and has 8 Top 10 finishes in his last 10 appearances there. Busch has also led a total of 285 laps in his last 10 races at Indianapolis, the most by any driver over that period.

Brad Keselowski is third in the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series standings right now and he has won two races this year with five Top 10 finishes. Keselowski finished 9th and 11th, respectively in the two Pocono races last weekend. He has seven Top 10 finishes in his last 10 races of the season. When it comes to Indianapolis, he has five Top 10 finishes in his last 10 appearances here including a win in 2018 and a second-place finish in 2017.

Joey Logano is sixth in the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series standings and he had a fast start, winning two out of the first four races of the season. However, he’s not finished higher than 4th place since then and only has four Top 10 finishes after his last win. Logano finished 36th and 24th in the two Pocono races last weekend. However, he has a strong track record in Indianapolis with seven Top 10 finishes in his last 10 races here. Logano has finished in the Top 8 in seven out of his last eight races at the Brickyard and was 2nd here last year.

Who Wins?

There is no question that the two drivers on top of the odds board have the best form among the field. Last weekend’s races saw Hamlin and Harvick alternate wins and second-place finishes. Hamlin has the most wins and Top 10 finishes of any driver this year while Harvick is second in both statistical departments but is on top of the Cup Series standings. I will agree if you call this a toss-up between the two favorites but if you ask me, I will go with Harvick here not only because he won this race last year but also because he’s averaged a 4.6 finish in his last six trips to the Brickyard.

When you talk about betting value though, I have to pick Kyle Busch because the defending Cup Series champion hasn’t won a race this year and should be due for a win. If there’s a race where he has a good chance of breaking his spell, it’s this one because he’s won it twice in the last five years and he has finished in the Top 10 in eight out of his last 10 appearances at the Brickyard.

Prediction: Kevin Harvick is the conservative pick for me but if you want that extra +50, then go with Kyle Busch.

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