It’s French Open month but that doesn’t stop us from looking ahead at the upcoming Major tennis tournaments. For this article, we will take an early look at the 2019 Wimbledon Championships and give you our early betting preview.
The 2019 Wimbledon Championships will be held from July 1-14, 2019 at the All-England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in London England and will be the 133rd edition of the only grand slam tournament still played on grass.
Let’s take a look at the early oddsboard for both the men’s and women’s singles championships:
Wimbledon Men’s Singles Championship
Here are the odds to win the 2019 Wimbledon men’s tournament. Odds were taken from Titanbet as of 6/21/19:
|Novak Djokovic||+125 ( from +150 )|
|Roger Federer||+325 ( from +330 )|
|Rafael Nadal||+500 ( from +600 )|
|Juan Martin Del Potro||+1600|
|Stefanos Tsitsipas||+2000 ( from +2500 )|
|Grigor Dmitrov||+3300 ( from +5000 )|
|Dominic Thiem||+2800 ( from +4000 )|
Who Are the Favorites?
Only four players have won the men’s Wimbledon title in the last 15 years. Roger Federer won it 8 times during that period, Novak Djokovic thrice, Andy Murray twice and Rafael Nadal thrice. Since these four players are in the Top 6 of the current oddsboard at Bovada, then they may be the best bets to win the tournament again unless some young gun breaks out and wins for the first time, which I don’t think is likely, given the trend.
In the last seven years, only Djokovic ( 2018, 2014 and 2015), Murray (2013 and 2016) and Federer (2012 and 2017) have won the title. Djokovic has displayed the better form between the three as he’s been victorious in three out of the last five years including the latest. And it’s not just in the All-England club where he’s dominating.
Djokovic has won the last three majors and is shooting for a non-calendar year grand slam at the upcoming 2019 French Open. And regardless of what happens at Roland Garros, he is still expected to be the #1 tennis betting favorite at Wimbledon, a tournament he’s won in four out of the last eight years and where he has a career record of 65-10.
Roger Federer is the man next to Djokovic in the oddsboard but the Federer Express has slowed down significantly. After winning the 2018 Australian Open, Federer has not made it past the quarterfinals in the succeeding major tournaments. As for Rafael Nadal, his last win at the All-England Club was in 2010 and while he’s coming off a semi-finals appearance last year, Nadal hasn’t gotten out of the 4th round in six out of the last seven years.
I like the betting value on Andy Murray who hasn’t won a major since winning the 2016 Wimbledon tournament. Murray has struggled in the last two years but he’s always been at his best when it comes to Wimbledon. Although he missed the tournament last year, he’s made seven semi-finals in the last nine years and these include wins in 2013 and 2016. He’s also declared that this will be his last Wimbledon tournament, which may set up some dramatics.
But the concern with Andy Murray is that he underwent hip surgery after the Australian Open so that’s a red flag already.
In the last 15 years, only four players have won the Wimbledon Men’s title. Roger Federer won it 8 times, Novak Djokovic 3 times, Rafael Nadal 3 times and Andy Murray twice. With those four players in the Top 6 of the current odds board at TopBet.eu as of 6/21/19, I’d like to say that they are the best bets to win Wimbledon this year, given the trend.
Rafael Nadal just won his record 12th French Open title. Roger Federer lost to Nadal in the semi-finals. That’s almost like winning the title, given how untouchable Nadal has been on clay. Djokovic was in the semifinals as well, but he lost to Dominic Thiem. Thiem, in turn, lost to Nadal in four sets during the finals. Sure, the French Open is a clay court tournament but when it comes to tennis betting, form is a factor you have to highly consider.
In that case, Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal should be our top choices. Andy Murray? He has just returned from hip surgery and it may not be prudent to put money on him right now. But going back, Nadal must be in cloud 9 right now after a record win at Roland Garros. Federer must feel he won the title already since he lost to a god in the semifinals. As for Djokovic, he may be sad he didn’t win his second grand slam of the year but reaching the semifinals in a surface which isn’t his specialty is also an achievement.
Prediction: While Novak Djokovic lost in the semifinals at Roland Garros, he lost to Thiem who is a clay court specialist so that’s not a cause of concern. On the other hand, Djokovic reaching the semis of a clay court tournament is proof that he is in good health and good form heading to Wimbledon. That’s good news. Nothing changes for me here. I’m still going with the #1 player in the World. Prediction: Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon Ladies Singles’ Championship
Here are the odds to win the 2019 Wimbledon women’s tournament. Odds were taken from Titanbet as of 6/21/19:
|Serena Williams||+400 ( from +350 )|
|Petra Kvitova||+ 600 ( from +550 )|
|Ashleigh Barty||+ 750 ( from +3300 )|
|Naomi Osaka||+750 (from +900 )|
|Angelique Kerber||+1200 ( from +900 )|
|Garbine Muguruza||+1400 ( from +1200 )|
|Caroline Wozniacki||+3300 ( from +2200 )|
Serena Williams has won five times in the last decade, the latest of those came in 2015 and 2016 when she won back to back, just before taking a leave of absence to give birth to her first child. We know she’s back and while she may not be in the old Serena form yet, she’s made the finals in two out of the last three grand slam tournaments.
Petra Kvitova is the #2 ranked female tennis player in the world as of May 6, 2019. The left-hander from the Czech Republic has not won a major title since winning Wimbledon in 2014. Since that win, she didn’t get past the quarterfinals in any major until making the finals of the 2019 Australian Open where she lost to Naomi Osaka in three sets.
Angelique Kerber is the defending Wimbledon champion. Kerber has won three grand slams since 2016 but she’s made it past the quarterfinals in just two majors over that period. Naomi Osaka is the fastest rising stock in women’s tennis. The Japanese-American is the current #1 ranked women’s tennis player in the world and has won the last two major tournaments, defeating Serena Williams at the 2018 U.S. Open and annexing the 2019 Australian Open title earlier this year.
No question, Serena Williams is still a force at age 37 and I don’t question her being among the top favorites but as the #1, I’m not sure. I’d rather pick Naomi Osaka or defending champion Angelique Kerber who are both at +900. I mean Serena is tough to beat, but Osaka beat here at the U.S. Open Finals last year. Kerber beat Serena too in the finals here last year.
Ashley Barty has zoomed to #3 in the world after her 2019 French Open win. Barty can be the #1 player in the world if she makes the finals of the Birmingham Classic which is currently underway.
There is no doubt that Serena Williams is still a force to be reckoned with even at the age of 37. And I don’t question here among the women on top of the odds board. But as the top tennis betting favorite to win Wimbledon? I’m not sold out.
When you take a look at current form which is a good indicator for tennis betting, Serena crashed out in the Round of 32 at Roland Garros. Osaka also exited in that round while Kerber was ousted in the first round. When you take a look at the odds board, the highest riser is Ashley Barty who won the 2019 French Open.
After the French Open, Serena admitted that she is very far from peak form so that’s something you should take note. Naomi Osaka followed up her early French Open exit with a second-round loss in the Birmingham Natural Valley Classic. Meanwhile, Ashley Barty marched to the quarterfinals of the same tournament. If she wins her next three matches, she will enter Wimbledon as the first Australian #1 ranked tennis player in 40 years. Regardless, he auspicious start on grass is impressive. When it comes to tennis betting, you have to love Barty’s form right now.
Right now, I will have to go with the value on Ashley Barty. The new clay court queen may be the next big thing in grass as well. That girl’s potential is limitless. And at +750 right now, she’s a must have. Prediction: Ashley Barty