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The 23rd ranked University of South Florida Bulls go on the road to face the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in an American Athletic Conference (AAC) showdown on Friday 10/12/18 at the H.A. Chapman Stadium in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
The Bulls are coming off a 58 point effort against Massachusetts while the Golden Hurricane are fresh off a 26-41 road loss against Houston. Tulsa is on a four game losing streak and they will face a herculean task in dealing USF their first loss of the season.
Spotlight On Cronkrite
The spotlight will be on USF junior running back Jordan Cronkrite who is coming off a video game like 302 rushing yard game against UMass in their last game. Cronkrite set the record for most rushing yards in a single game in both school and conference history. It was also the 4th most rushing yards in a single game by an FBS player in the state of Florida.
But while USF is doing great on offense, they are a team that is still looking for their identity in defense. The Bulls are yielding a total of 422.8 yards per game, not elite, but despite that, their offense has been able to cover up that weakness. That’s probably how this game is going to end up.
USF vs Tulsa 10/12/18
Moneyline Odds: USF -280, Tulsa +235
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/10/18
Fourth Quarter Collapse
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane were one quarter away from pulling off an upset over a Houston team that produced 582.2 yards of total offense and scored 50 points per game. Tulsa was ahead by 6 points entering the fourth quarter. But instead of getting a big win, a fourth quarter collapse gave them their fourth straight defeat of the season.
Tulsa has four receivers who have caught more than a hundred yards already this season. These are Keenan Johnson, Justin Hobbs, Keylon Stokes and Jarion Anderson. On the ground, Corey Taylor II leads Tulsa with 411 rushing yards on 92 carries with four touchdowns. Sophomore Shamari Brooks also has four rushing touchdowns on 92 carries and 375 rushing yards but he missed last week’s game against Houston.
Who Wins?
South Florida is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games and 9-1 SU in their last 10 games on the road. On the other hand, Tulsa is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games and just 2-5 SU in their last 7 games at home. The Bulls have won the last two meetings between these teams.
Another big night from their running game will open up the USF air attack. Quarterback Blake Barnett has had a relatively quiet last two games but with Cronkrite having another monster effort, he should pick up the slack on Friday.
On the other hand, freshman Seth Boomer is likely to start again in place of Luke Skipper who was benched last week. The uncertainty surrounding Tulsa’s quarterback position should make it even harder for the Golden Hurricane to pull off an upset.
We’re picking USF to beat Tulsa on 10/12/18.
Other Bets To Make
While South Florida is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games on the road, the Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with losing records, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after giving up 40 or more points in their previous game and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing home record.
Meanwhile, Tulsa is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games at home. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 2-5 ATS at home when playing against teams with a winning record.
USF vs Tulsa 10/12/18
Spread Odds: USF -7.5 (+100), Tulsa +7.5 (-120)
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/10/18
Tulsa doesn’t have any answers for Cronkrite who put up a 300 rushing yard game the last time out. It’s unlikely he’ll replicate that performance but given that Tulsa allows 207.4 rushing yards per game, expect another big night from Cronkrite. The running game should give them enough points to cover the spread.
Prediction: USF -7.5
Tulsa has only breached the 30 point barrier just twice this season. On the other hand, USF has scored at least 30 in three of their five games including over 40 twice. In their last game, they put up 58 points against UMass. So if the score has to go over 63.5, the Bulls have to do most of the scoring.
USF vs Tulsa 10/12/18
Over/Under Odds: Over 63.5 -115, Under 63.5 -105
Odds from Sportsbetting.ag as of 10/10/18
But remember that this Golden Hurricane defense allows 31.2 points per game and USF should easily drop 40 points on them. Asking Tulsa to score the remaining 24 points won’t be too much, especially since USF isn’t a defensive elite either. The over is 4-2 in USF’s last six games on the road. This should be no different.
Prediction: Over 63.5
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